Following a record early April heatwave peaking at 26.6°C in Kew Gardens southwest London on April 8, trader sentiment has shifted to reflect cooler westerly airflow ushering in Atlantic disturbances, with Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts converging on a high near 16°C for April 14. The tightly clustered market-implied odds—17°C at 29%, flanked by 15-18°C outcomes—stem from ensemble model spread, where drier sunny intervals under weak high pressure could boost peaks to 17-18°C, while increased cloud cover or showers from passing fronts caps them at 14-15°C. Key differentiators include jet stream positioning and boundary layer mixing, against a climatological April high of 13-14°C at Heathrow. Updated guidance expected midday April 13.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4月14日のロンドンの最高気温は？
4月14日のロンドンの最高気温は？
16℃ 25%
15°C 23%
17°C 18%
18℃ 15%
新規
新規
2026/04/14
10℃以下
1%
11℃
2%
12°C
2%
13℃
8%
14°C
11%
15°C
23%
16℃
19%
17°C
18%
18℃
15%
19℃
9%
20°C以上
5%
16℃ 25%
15°C 23%
17°C 18%
18℃ 15%
新規
新規
2026/04/14
10℃以下
$59 Vol.
1%
11℃
$61 Vol.
2%
12°C
$165 Vol.
2%
13℃
$83 Vol.
8%
14°C
$116 Vol.
11%
15°C
$92 Vol.
23%
16℃
$95 Vol.
19%
17°C
$13 Vol.
18%
18℃
$177 Vol.
15%
19℃
$5 Vol.
9%
20°C以上
$106 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Following a record early April heatwave peaking at 26.6°C in Kew Gardens southwest London on April 8, trader sentiment has shifted to reflect cooler westerly airflow ushering in Atlantic disturbances, with Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts converging on a high near 16°C for April 14. The tightly clustered market-implied odds—17°C at 29%, flanked by 15-18°C outcomes—stem from ensemble model spread, where drier sunny intervals under weak high pressure could boost peaks to 17-18°C, while increased cloud cover or showers from passing fronts caps them at 14-15°C. Key differentiators include jet stream positioning and boundary layer mixing, against a climatological April high of 13-14°C at Heathrow. Updated guidance expected midday April 13.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
音量
$890終了日
2026/04/14マーケット開始日
Apr 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Following a record early April heatwave peaking at 26.6°C in Kew Gardens southwest London on April 8, trader sentiment has shifted to reflect cooler westerly airflow ushering in Atlantic disturbances, with Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts converging on a high near 16°C for April 14. The tightly clustered market-implied odds—17°C at 29%, flanked by 15-18°C outcomes—stem from ensemble model spread, where drier sunny intervals under weak high pressure could boost peaks to 17-18°C, while increased cloud cover or showers from passing fronts caps them at 14-15°C. Key differentiators include jet stream positioning and boundary layer mixing, against a climatological April high of 13-14°C at Heathrow. Updated guidance expected midday April 13.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$890終了日
2026/04/14マーケット開始日
Apr 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFollowing a record early April heatwave peaking at 26.6°C in Kew Gardens southwest London on April 8, trader sentiment has shifted to reflect cooler westerly airflow ushering in Atlantic disturbances, with Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts converging on a high near 16°C for April 14. The tightly clustered market-implied odds—17°C at 29%, flanked by 15-18°C outcomes—stem from ensemble model spread, where drier sunny intervals under weak high pressure could boost peaks to 17-18°C, while increased cloud cover or showers from passing fronts caps them at 14-15°C. Key differentiators include jet stream positioning and boundary layer mixing, against a climatological April high of 13-14°C at Heathrow. Updated guidance expected midday April 13.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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