Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Seattle's high temperature for April 14, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 46-51°F (26-29%) due to divergent global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF showing spreads of 45-55°F amid persistent marine stratus clouds from the Puget Sound. Recent National Weather Service discussions highlight lingering effects of precipitation bands through April 11-12, fostering cool onshore flow and low-level stratus decks that suppress diurnal heating below seasonal norms of ~57°F. NOAA's spring outlook favors above-normal temperatures overall, but short-term troughiness and potential morning fog introduce variability; a subtle ridge amplification could push toward 52°F+, while thicker clouds favor sub-48°F. Watch 12Z model runs and NWS updates for cloud burn-off trends.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Seattle on April 14?
Highest temperature in Seattle on April 14?
48-49°F 30%
46-47°F 26%
50-51°F 19%
44-45°F 17%
新規
新規
2026/04/14
43°F or below
1%
44-45°F
17%
46-47°F
26%
48-49°F
30%
50-51°F
19%
52-53°F
17%
54-55°F
12%
56-57°F
12%
58-59°F
12%
60-61°F
1%
62°F or higher
12%
48-49°F 30%
46-47°F 26%
50-51°F 19%
44-45°F 17%
新規
新規
2026/04/14
43°F or below
$0 Vol.
1%
44-45°F
$6 Vol.
17%
46-47°F
$6 Vol.
26%
48-49°F
$0 Vol.
30%
50-51°F
$0 Vol.
19%
52-53°F
$0 Vol.
17%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
12%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
12%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
12%
60-61°F
$54 Vol.
1%
62°F or higher
$16 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Seattle's high temperature for April 14, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 46-51°F (26-29%) due to divergent global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF showing spreads of 45-55°F amid persistent marine stratus clouds from the Puget Sound. Recent National Weather Service discussions highlight lingering effects of precipitation bands through April 11-12, fostering cool onshore flow and low-level stratus decks that suppress diurnal heating below seasonal norms of ~57°F. NOAA's spring outlook favors above-normal temperatures overall, but short-term troughiness and potential morning fog introduce variability; a subtle ridge amplification could push toward 52°F+, while thicker clouds favor sub-48°F. Watch 12Z model runs and NWS updates for cloud burn-off trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
音量
$76終了日
2026/04/14マーケット開始日
Apr 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Seattle's high temperature for April 14, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 46-51°F (26-29%) due to divergent global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF showing spreads of 45-55°F amid persistent marine stratus clouds from the Puget Sound. Recent National Weather Service discussions highlight lingering effects of precipitation bands through April 11-12, fostering cool onshore flow and low-level stratus decks that suppress diurnal heating below seasonal norms of ~57°F. NOAA's spring outlook favors above-normal temperatures overall, but short-term troughiness and potential morning fog introduce variability; a subtle ridge amplification could push toward 52°F+, while thicker clouds favor sub-48°F. Watch 12Z model runs and NWS updates for cloud burn-off trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$76終了日
2026/04/14マーケット開始日
Apr 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Seattle's high temperature for April 14, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 46-51°F (26-29%) due to divergent global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF showing spreads of 45-55°F amid persistent marine stratus clouds from the Puget Sound. Recent National Weather Service discussions highlight lingering effects of precipitation bands through April 11-12, fostering cool onshore flow and low-level stratus decks that suppress diurnal heating below seasonal norms of ~57°F. NOAA's spring outlook favors above-normal temperatures overall, but short-term troughiness and potential morning fog introduce variability; a subtle ridge amplification could push toward 52°F+, while thicker clouds favor sub-48°F. Watch 12Z model runs and NWS updates for cloud burn-off trends.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問