Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts and ensemble models project Busan's highest temperature on April 15 near 23°C, anchoring trader consensus at 35.5% implied probability for that outcome, with 22°C (24.5%) and 24°C (21.5%) close behind. This positioning reflects a recent warm spell, including a 25°C peak on April 13 amid a high-pressure ridge and southerly winds boosting daytime heating, contrasting cooler evenings around 15-16°C. Mid-April climatological averages hover at 19-21°C, but above-normal warmth persists due to reduced cloud cover and spring solar insolation. Inherent forecast uncertainty from model spread—some ensembles reach 25°C or higher—supports the 16.4% tail for 25°C+, with KMA's next 12Z update expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Busan on April 15?
Highest temperature in Busan on April 15?
23°C 32.9%
22°C 22%
25°C or higher 21.9%
24°C 21.7%
新規
$17,913 Vol.
新規
$17,913 Vol.
2026/04/15
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
22%
23°C
33%
24°C
22%
25°C or higher
22%
23°C 32.9%
22°C 22%
25°C or higher 21.9%
24°C 21.7%
新規
$17,913 Vol.
新規
$17,913 Vol.
2026/04/15
15°C or below
$854 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$963 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$2,120 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$2,463 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,821 Vol.
1%
20°C
$2,246 Vol.
1%
21°C
$1,887 Vol.
5%
22°C
$557 Vol.
22%
23°C
$906 Vol.
33%
24°C
$2,069 Vol.
22%
25°C or higher
$2,050 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts and ensemble models project Busan's highest temperature on April 15 near 23°C, anchoring trader consensus at 35.5% implied probability for that outcome, with 22°C (24.5%) and 24°C (21.5%) close behind. This positioning reflects a recent warm spell, including a 25°C peak on April 13 amid a high-pressure ridge and southerly winds boosting daytime heating, contrasting cooler evenings around 15-16°C. Mid-April climatological averages hover at 19-21°C, but above-normal warmth persists due to reduced cloud cover and spring solar insolation. Inherent forecast uncertainty from model spread—some ensembles reach 25°C or higher—supports the 16.4% tail for 25°C+, with KMA's next 12Z update expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 13, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
音量
$17,913終了日
2026/04/15マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 12:26 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts and ensemble models project Busan's highest temperature on April 15 near 23°C, anchoring trader consensus at 35.5% implied probability for that outcome, with 22°C (24.5%) and 24°C (21.5%) close behind. This positioning reflects a recent warm spell, including a 25°C peak on April 13 amid a high-pressure ridge and southerly winds boosting daytime heating, contrasting cooler evenings around 15-16°C. Mid-April climatological averages hover at 19-21°C, but above-normal warmth persists due to reduced cloud cover and spring solar insolation. Inherent forecast uncertainty from model spread—some ensembles reach 25°C or higher—supports the 16.4% tail for 25°C+, with KMA's next 12Z update expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$17,913終了日
2026/04/15マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 12:26 AM ETKorea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts and ensemble models project Busan's highest temperature on April 15 near 23°C, anchoring trader consensus at 35.5% implied probability for that outcome, with 22°C (24.5%) and 24°C (21.5%) close behind. This positioning reflects a recent warm spell, including a 25°C peak on April 13 amid a high-pressure ridge and southerly winds boosting daytime heating, contrasting cooler evenings around 15-16°C. Mid-April climatological averages hover at 19-21°C, but above-normal warmth persists due to reduced cloud cover and spring solar insolation. Inherent forecast uncertainty from model spread—some ensembles reach 25°C or higher—supports the 16.4% tail for 25°C+, with KMA's next 12Z update expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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