Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 29°C (34.5%) and 30°C (35.5%) for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 15, reflecting the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast projecting a peak around 29-30°C amid persistent southerly winds of 16-24 km/h drawing warm air from the South China Sea and mostly clear skies maximizing solar insolation. Global model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF cluster in the 28-30°C range, with minor divergences on exact peak timing and potential afternoon cloud buildup differentiating the outcomes—slight wind weakening could nudge toward 30°C, while isolated showers might cap at 29°C. Above the April climatological average of 26-28°C, this stems from a strengthening subtropical ridge; final CMA updates today and official observations at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport will sharpen resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 15?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 15?
30°C 36%
29°C 33%
31°C 15%
28°C 13.4%
新規
$37,034 Vol.
新規
$37,034 Vol.
2026/04/15
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
13%
29°C
33%
30°C
36%
31°C
15%
32°C or higher
2%
30°C 36%
29°C 33%
31°C 15%
28°C 13.4%
新規
$37,034 Vol.
新規
$37,034 Vol.
2026/04/15
25°C
$3,735 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,690 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$8,187 Vol.
2%
28°C
$4,716 Vol.
13%
29°C
$1,697 Vol.
33%
30°C
$1,295 Vol.
36%
31°C
$3,818 Vol.
15%
32°C or higher
$4,592 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 29°C (34.5%) and 30°C (35.5%) for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 15, reflecting the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast projecting a peak around 29-30°C amid persistent southerly winds of 16-24 km/h drawing warm air from the South China Sea and mostly clear skies maximizing solar insolation. Global model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF cluster in the 28-30°C range, with minor divergences on exact peak timing and potential afternoon cloud buildup differentiating the outcomes—slight wind weakening could nudge toward 30°C, while isolated showers might cap at 29°C. Above the April climatological average of 26-28°C, this stems from a strengthening subtropical ridge; final CMA updates today and official observations at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport will sharpen resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 13, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
音量
$37,034終了日
2026/04/15マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 12:22 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 29°C (34.5%) and 30°C (35.5%) for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 15, reflecting the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast projecting a peak around 29-30°C amid persistent southerly winds of 16-24 km/h drawing warm air from the South China Sea and mostly clear skies maximizing solar insolation. Global model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF cluster in the 28-30°C range, with minor divergences on exact peak timing and potential afternoon cloud buildup differentiating the outcomes—slight wind weakening could nudge toward 30°C, while isolated showers might cap at 29°C. Above the April climatological average of 26-28°C, this stems from a strengthening subtropical ridge; final CMA updates today and official observations at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport will sharpen resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$37,034終了日
2026/04/15マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 12:22 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 29°C (34.5%) and 30°C (35.5%) for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 15, reflecting the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast projecting a peak around 29-30°C amid persistent southerly winds of 16-24 km/h drawing warm air from the South China Sea and mostly clear skies maximizing solar insolation. Global model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF cluster in the 28-30°C range, with minor divergences on exact peak timing and potential afternoon cloud buildup differentiating the outcomes—slight wind weakening could nudge toward 30°C, while isolated showers might cap at 29°C. Above the April climatological average of 26-28°C, this stems from a strengthening subtropical ridge; final CMA updates today and official observations at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport will sharpen resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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