Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 33°C and 34°C nearly equally as Lagos's highest temperature on April 15, capturing genuine uncertainty in peak heating amid NiMet's latest bulletins forecasting partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms over southern Nigeria. Recent NiMet outlooks for mid-April note daytime highs up to 33°C under similar conditions, with prospects of convective activity suppressing maxima if afternoon showers develop, while clearer intervals or delayed sea breezes could push toward 34°C. April climatology averages 32°C maxima at official stations, influenced by urban heat island effects in Lagos and southerly winds moderating inland advection. Global model ensembles show tight spread around this range, with updated NiMet and ECMWF guidance due within 24 hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Lagos on April 15?
Highest temperature in Lagos on April 15?
33°C 33%
34°C 32%
32°C 21%
35°C 14%
新規
$22,955 Vol.
新規
$22,955 Vol.
2026/04/15
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
7%
32°C
21%
33°C
33%
34°C
32%
35°C
14%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 33%
34°C 32%
32°C 21%
35°C 14%
新規
$22,955 Vol.
新規
$22,955 Vol.
2026/04/15
27°C or below
$2,433 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,017 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,776 Vol.
1%
30°C
$7,668 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,492 Vol.
7%
32°C
$272 Vol.
21%
33°C
$231 Vol.
33%
34°C
$245 Vol.
32%
35°C
$235 Vol.
14%
36°C
$716 Vol.
3%
37°C or higher
$5,872 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 33°C and 34°C nearly equally as Lagos's highest temperature on April 15, capturing genuine uncertainty in peak heating amid NiMet's latest bulletins forecasting partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms over southern Nigeria. Recent NiMet outlooks for mid-April note daytime highs up to 33°C under similar conditions, with prospects of convective activity suppressing maxima if afternoon showers develop, while clearer intervals or delayed sea breezes could push toward 34°C. April climatology averages 32°C maxima at official stations, influenced by urban heat island effects in Lagos and southerly winds moderating inland advection. Global model ensembles show tight spread around this range, with updated NiMet and ECMWF guidance due within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ET
音量
$22,955終了日
2026/04/15マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 33°C and 34°C nearly equally as Lagos's highest temperature on April 15, capturing genuine uncertainty in peak heating amid NiMet's latest bulletins forecasting partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms over southern Nigeria. Recent NiMet outlooks for mid-April note daytime highs up to 33°C under similar conditions, with prospects of convective activity suppressing maxima if afternoon showers develop, while clearer intervals or delayed sea breezes could push toward 34°C. April climatology averages 32°C maxima at official stations, influenced by urban heat island effects in Lagos and southerly winds moderating inland advection. Global model ensembles show tight spread around this range, with updated NiMet and ECMWF guidance due within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$22,955終了日
2026/04/15マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket prices 33°C and 34°C nearly equally as Lagos's highest temperature on April 15, capturing genuine uncertainty in peak heating amid NiMet's latest bulletins forecasting partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms over southern Nigeria. Recent NiMet outlooks for mid-April note daytime highs up to 33°C under similar conditions, with prospects of convective activity suppressing maxima if afternoon showers develop, while clearer intervals or delayed sea breezes could push toward 34°C. April climatology averages 32°C maxima at official stations, influenced by urban heat island effects in Lagos and southerly winds moderating inland advection. Global model ensembles show tight spread around this range, with updated NiMet and ECMWF guidance due within 24 hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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