Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward mid-60s highs for San Francisco on April 16, with 66-67°F at 33.5% edging 68-69°F (28%) and 64-65°F (24.5%), capturing model ensemble spread from GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks near 65°F. Persistent marine layer stratus, driven by cool sea surface temperatures in the California Current and steady westerly onshore flow, caps daytime heating via coastal advection fog, aligning with historical April averages of 64°F. Key differentiators include burn-off timing—prolonged clouds favor 64-65°F, quicker clearing under ridge amplification boosts 68-69°F—amid inherent forecast uncertainty in stratus depth and subsidence. Monitor evening NWS updates and dawn observations for potential shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 16?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 16?
66-67°F 31%
68-69°F 26%
64-65°F 24%
62-63°F 11%
新規
新規
2026/04/16
59°F or below
1%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
11%
64-65°F
24%
66-67°F
31%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
6%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
1%
78°F or higher
1%
66-67°F 31%
68-69°F 26%
64-65°F 24%
62-63°F 11%
新規
新規
2026/04/16
59°F or below
$321 Vol.
1%
60-61°F
$67 Vol.
3%
62-63°F
$59 Vol.
11%
64-65°F
$237 Vol.
24%
66-67°F
$166 Vol.
31%
68-69°F
$119 Vol.
26%
70-71°F
$81 Vol.
6%
72-73°F
$124 Vol.
2%
74-75°F
$124 Vol.
2%
76-77°F
$259 Vol.
1%
78°F or higher
$603 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward mid-60s highs for San Francisco on April 16, with 66-67°F at 33.5% edging 68-69°F (28%) and 64-65°F (24.5%), capturing model ensemble spread from GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks near 65°F. Persistent marine layer stratus, driven by cool sea surface temperatures in the California Current and steady westerly onshore flow, caps daytime heating via coastal advection fog, aligning with historical April averages of 64°F. Key differentiators include burn-off timing—prolonged clouds favor 64-65°F, quicker clearing under ridge amplification boosts 68-69°F—amid inherent forecast uncertainty in stratus depth and subsidence. Monitor evening NWS updates and dawn observations for potential shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 14, 2026, 7:02 PM ET
音量
$2,159終了日
2026/04/16マーケット開始日
Apr 14, 2026, 7:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward mid-60s highs for San Francisco on April 16, with 66-67°F at 33.5% edging 68-69°F (28%) and 64-65°F (24.5%), capturing model ensemble spread from GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks near 65°F. Persistent marine layer stratus, driven by cool sea surface temperatures in the California Current and steady westerly onshore flow, caps daytime heating via coastal advection fog, aligning with historical April averages of 64°F. Key differentiators include burn-off timing—prolonged clouds favor 64-65°F, quicker clearing under ridge amplification boosts 68-69°F—amid inherent forecast uncertainty in stratus depth and subsidence. Monitor evening NWS updates and dawn observations for potential shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$2,159終了日
2026/04/16マーケット開始日
Apr 14, 2026, 7:02 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward mid-60s highs for San Francisco on April 16, with 66-67°F at 33.5% edging 68-69°F (28%) and 64-65°F (24.5%), capturing model ensemble spread from GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks near 65°F. Persistent marine layer stratus, driven by cool sea surface temperatures in the California Current and steady westerly onshore flow, caps daytime heating via coastal advection fog, aligning with historical April averages of 64°F. Key differentiators include burn-off timing—prolonged clouds favor 64-65°F, quicker clearing under ridge amplification boosts 68-69°F—amid inherent forecast uncertainty in stratus depth and subsidence. Monitor evening NWS updates and dawn observations for potential shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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