Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Karachi's highest temperature for April 15, with implied probabilities clustered around 30–33°C (27.5–29.5%) amid latest Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) forecasts for hot, dry conditions and daytime highs of 32–35°C following recent rain events that cooled early April readings to 28–30°C. Differentiating factors include variable sea breeze onshore flows from the Arabian Sea, which could cap peaks at 31°C through enhanced humidity and coastal moderation, versus stronger continental heating under clear skies pushing toward 34°C if winds weaken. Historical April averages hover near 33°C, with model ensembles showing spread due to minimal cloud cover and pre-monsoon warming; PMD observational updates expected throughout the day will sharpen resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Karachi on April 15?
Highest temperature in Karachi on April 15?
26°C or below 41%
30°C 24%
28°C 22%
33°C 8%
新規
新規
2026/04/15
26°C or below
41%
27°C
2%
28°C
22%
29°C
5%
30°C
24%
31°C
7%
32°C
7%
33°C
8%
34°C
6%
35°C
6%
36°C or higher
23%
26°C or below 41%
30°C 24%
28°C 22%
33°C 8%
新規
新規
2026/04/15
26°C or below
$210 Vol.
41%
27°C
$211 Vol.
2%
28°C
$214 Vol.
22%
29°C
$204 Vol.
5%
30°C
$15 Vol.
24%
31°C
$7 Vol.
7%
32°C
$27 Vol.
7%
33°C
$27 Vol.
8%
34°C
$29 Vol.
6%
35°C
$31 Vol.
6%
36°C or higher
$19 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Karachi's highest temperature for April 15, with implied probabilities clustered around 30–33°C (27.5–29.5%) amid latest Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) forecasts for hot, dry conditions and daytime highs of 32–35°C following recent rain events that cooled early April readings to 28–30°C. Differentiating factors include variable sea breeze onshore flows from the Arabian Sea, which could cap peaks at 31°C through enhanced humidity and coastal moderation, versus stronger continental heating under clear skies pushing toward 34°C if winds weaken. Historical April averages hover near 33°C, with model ensembles showing spread due to minimal cloud cover and pre-monsoon warming; PMD observational updates expected throughout the day will sharpen resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 14, 2026, 6:04 PM ET
音量
$994終了日
2026/04/15マーケット開始日
Apr 14, 2026, 6:04 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Karachi's highest temperature for April 15, with implied probabilities clustered around 30–33°C (27.5–29.5%) amid latest Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) forecasts for hot, dry conditions and daytime highs of 32–35°C following recent rain events that cooled early April readings to 28–30°C. Differentiating factors include variable sea breeze onshore flows from the Arabian Sea, which could cap peaks at 31°C through enhanced humidity and coastal moderation, versus stronger continental heating under clear skies pushing toward 34°C if winds weaken. Historical April averages hover near 33°C, with model ensembles showing spread due to minimal cloud cover and pre-monsoon warming; PMD observational updates expected throughout the day will sharpen resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$994終了日
2026/04/15マーケット開始日
Apr 14, 2026, 6:04 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Karachi's highest temperature for April 15, with implied probabilities clustered around 30–33°C (27.5–29.5%) amid latest Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) forecasts for hot, dry conditions and daytime highs of 32–35°C following recent rain events that cooled early April readings to 28–30°C. Differentiating factors include variable sea breeze onshore flows from the Arabian Sea, which could cap peaks at 31°C through enhanced humidity and coastal moderation, versus stronger continental heating under clear skies pushing toward 34°C if winds weaken. Historical April averages hover near 33°C, with model ensembles showing spread due to minimal cloud cover and pre-monsoon warming; PMD observational updates expected throughout the day will sharpen resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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