PAGASA's latest extended outlook forecasts a Metro Manila high of 34°C on April 15 under a persistent ridge of high pressure and easterly winds, fostering clear skies with 0% rain chance, following yesterday's observed peak of 34.4°C at the Science Garden Quezon City station. Trader-implied probabilities cluster evenly at 23.5% across 32–38°C outcomes, reflecting inherent uncertainty in peak afternoon temperatures driven by variable sea breeze timing—which can moderate urban heat island effects—solar insolation intensity, and potential isolated clouds disrupting model consensus. Historical April averages hover near 33–35°C amid the dry season peak, with new hourly observations through late afternoon expected to sharpen resolution as conditions evolve.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Manila on April 15?
Highest temperature in Manila on April 15?
32°C 24%
33°C 24%
34°C 24%
35°C 24%
新規
新規
2026/04/15
29°C or below
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
24%
33°C
24%
34°C
24%
35°C
24%
36°C
24%
37°C
24%
38°C
24%
39°C or higher
11%
32°C 24%
33°C 24%
34°C 24%
35°C 24%
新規
新規
2026/04/15
29°C or below
$379 Vol.
2%
30°C
$214 Vol.
1%
31°C
$215 Vol.
2%
32°C
$0 Vol.
24%
33°C
$0 Vol.
24%
34°C
$0 Vol.
24%
35°C
$0 Vol.
24%
36°C
$0 Vol.
24%
37°C
$0 Vol.
24%
38°C
$0 Vol.
24%
39°C or higher
$0 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's latest extended outlook forecasts a Metro Manila high of 34°C on April 15 under a persistent ridge of high pressure and easterly winds, fostering clear skies with 0% rain chance, following yesterday's observed peak of 34.4°C at the Science Garden Quezon City station. Trader-implied probabilities cluster evenly at 23.5% across 32–38°C outcomes, reflecting inherent uncertainty in peak afternoon temperatures driven by variable sea breeze timing—which can moderate urban heat island effects—solar insolation intensity, and potential isolated clouds disrupting model consensus. Historical April averages hover near 33–35°C amid the dry season peak, with new hourly observations through late afternoon expected to sharpen resolution as conditions evolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
音量
$808終了日
2026/04/15マーケット開始日
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's latest extended outlook forecasts a Metro Manila high of 34°C on April 15 under a persistent ridge of high pressure and easterly winds, fostering clear skies with 0% rain chance, following yesterday's observed peak of 34.4°C at the Science Garden Quezon City station. Trader-implied probabilities cluster evenly at 23.5% across 32–38°C outcomes, reflecting inherent uncertainty in peak afternoon temperatures driven by variable sea breeze timing—which can moderate urban heat island effects—solar insolation intensity, and potential isolated clouds disrupting model consensus. Historical April averages hover near 33–35°C amid the dry season peak, with new hourly observations through late afternoon expected to sharpen resolution as conditions evolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$808終了日
2026/04/15マーケット開始日
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETPAGASA's latest extended outlook forecasts a Metro Manila high of 34°C on April 15 under a persistent ridge of high pressure and easterly winds, fostering clear skies with 0% rain chance, following yesterday's observed peak of 34.4°C at the Science Garden Quezon City station. Trader-implied probabilities cluster evenly at 23.5% across 32–38°C outcomes, reflecting inherent uncertainty in peak afternoon temperatures driven by variable sea breeze timing—which can moderate urban heat island effects—solar insolation intensity, and potential isolated clouds disrupting model consensus. Historical April averages hover near 33–35°C amid the dry season peak, with new hourly observations through late afternoon expected to sharpen resolution as conditions evolve.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問