MetService's latest forecast for Wellington Central on April 16 calls for a high of 17°C with early rain clearing to fine conditions under strong westerlies, driving trader consensus toward nearby outcomes amid inherent short-range uncertainty in numerical weather prediction models. Recent observations show yesterday's high of 17.1°C and today's projected 18°C under northerlies turning southerly, aligning with April climatology averages of 17°C maxima and low day-to-day variability. Ensemble model spread reflects potential for brief northerly warmth before westerly cooling, positioning 18°C as the market-implied frontrunner at 41.5% while distributing probability across 17–19°C. Official Kelburn station data will resolve the market, with final updates expected overnight.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4月16日のウェリントンの最高気温は?
4月16日のウェリントンの最高気温は?
18℃ 41%
17℃ 18%
19°C 14%
16℃ 11.9%
$14,841 Vol.
$14,841 Vol.
11°C以下
<1%
12℃
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16℃
12%
17℃
18%
18℃
41%
19°C
14%
20℃
3%
21℃以上
1%
18℃ 41%
17℃ 18%
19°C 14%
16℃ 11.9%
$14,841 Vol.
$14,841 Vol.
11°C以下
<1%
12℃
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16℃
12%
17℃
18%
18℃
41%
19°C
14%
20℃
3%
21℃以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
MetService's latest forecast for Wellington Central on April 16 calls for a high of 17°C with early rain clearing to fine conditions under strong westerlies, driving trader consensus toward nearby outcomes amid inherent short-range uncertainty in numerical weather prediction models. Recent observations show yesterday's high of 17.1°C and today's projected 18°C under northerlies turning southerly, aligning with April climatology averages of 17°C maxima and low day-to-day variability. Ensemble model spread reflects potential for brief northerly warmth before westerly cooling, positioning 18°C as the market-implied frontrunner at 41.5% while distributing probability across 17–19°C. Official Kelburn station data will resolve the market, with final updates expected overnight.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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