Japan Meteorological Agency forecast models and global ensembles like ECMWF project Tokyo's highest temperature on April 16 near 20°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, anchoring trader consensus at 36.5% implied probability for that outcome and 24.5% for 19°C. Recent observations show April 13-14 highs around 20°C (68°F) amid mild spring conditions following a frontal passage, aligning with mid-April climatology of 18-22°C boosted by Tokyo's urban heat island effect. Uncertainty stems from variable low-level moisture potentially capping peak heating via increased cloud cover; daily JMA updates on April 15 will provide refined guidance as the market nears resolution based on official station measurements.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 16?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 16?
20°C 32%
19°C 17%
21°C 17%
22°C 15%
新規
新規
2026/04/16
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
5%
19°C
17%
20°C
32%
21°C
17%
22°C
15%
23°C
13%
24°C or higher
9%
20°C 32%
19°C 17%
21°C 17%
22°C 15%
新規
新規
2026/04/16
14°C or below
$541 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$528 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$438 Vol.
1%
17°C
$908 Vol.
3%
18°C
$373 Vol.
5%
19°C
$500 Vol.
17%
20°C
$272 Vol.
32%
21°C
$195 Vol.
17%
22°C
$193 Vol.
15%
23°C
$215 Vol.
13%
24°C or higher
$400 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency forecast models and global ensembles like ECMWF project Tokyo's highest temperature on April 16 near 20°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, anchoring trader consensus at 36.5% implied probability for that outcome and 24.5% for 19°C. Recent observations show April 13-14 highs around 20°C (68°F) amid mild spring conditions following a frontal passage, aligning with mid-April climatology of 18-22°C boosted by Tokyo's urban heat island effect. Uncertainty stems from variable low-level moisture potentially capping peak heating via increased cloud cover; daily JMA updates on April 15 will provide refined guidance as the market nears resolution based on official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 14, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
音量
$4,538終了日
2026/04/16マーケット開始日
Apr 14, 2026, 6:06 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency forecast models and global ensembles like ECMWF project Tokyo's highest temperature on April 16 near 20°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, anchoring trader consensus at 36.5% implied probability for that outcome and 24.5% for 19°C. Recent observations show April 13-14 highs around 20°C (68°F) amid mild spring conditions following a frontal passage, aligning with mid-April climatology of 18-22°C boosted by Tokyo's urban heat island effect. Uncertainty stems from variable low-level moisture potentially capping peak heating via increased cloud cover; daily JMA updates on April 15 will provide refined guidance as the market nears resolution based on official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$4,538終了日
2026/04/16マーケット開始日
Apr 14, 2026, 6:06 PM ETJapan Meteorological Agency forecast models and global ensembles like ECMWF project Tokyo's highest temperature on April 16 near 20°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, anchoring trader consensus at 36.5% implied probability for that outcome and 24.5% for 19°C. Recent observations show April 13-14 highs around 20°C (68°F) amid mild spring conditions following a frontal passage, aligning with mid-April climatology of 18-22°C boosted by Tokyo's urban heat island effect. Uncertainty stems from variable low-level moisture potentially capping peak heating via increased cloud cover; daily JMA updates on April 15 will provide refined guidance as the market nears resolution based on official station measurements.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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