Official Météo-France observations from the Charles de Gaulle Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm a peak temperature of 19°C on April 16, recorded around midday under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and no significant precipitation. This outcome matches pre-event ensemble forecast consensus from ECMWF and other models, which projected highs of 17–20°C amid a mild Atlantic airflow slightly boosting temperatures above Paris's April climatological average of 16°C. Trader sentiment at 100% implied probability reflects full alignment with these quality-controlled hourly measurements, underscoring prediction markets' efficiency in aggregating verified data. Realistic challenges are negligible but could arise from rare post hoc data audits revealing sensor errors, though Météo-France's validation processes minimize such risks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4月16日のパリの最高気温は？
4月16日のパリの最高気温は？
19℃ 100.0%
13℃以下 <1%
14°C <1%
15℃ <1%
$679,419 Vol.
$679,419 Vol.
2026/04/16
13℃以下
いいえ
14°C
いいえ
15℃
いいえ
16°C
いいえ
17°C
いいえ
18°C
いいえ
19℃
はい
20℃
いいえ
21°C
いいえ
22℃
いいえ
23℃以上
いいえ
19℃ 100.0%
13℃以下 <1%
14°C <1%
15℃ <1%
$679,419 Vol.
$679,419 Vol.
2026/04/16
13℃以下
$917 Vol.
いいえ
14°C
$302,062 Vol.
いいえ
15℃
$3,554 Vol.
いいえ
16°C
$8,276 Vol.
いいえ
17°C
$26,189 Vol.
いいえ
18°C
$151,700 Vol.
いいえ
19℃
$61,894 Vol.
はい
20℃
$28,118 Vol.
いいえ
21°C
$25,455 Vol.
いいえ
22℃
$29,891 Vol.
いいえ
23℃以上
$41,364 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Météo-France observations from the Charles de Gaulle Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm a peak temperature of 19°C on April 16, recorded around midday under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and no significant precipitation. This outcome matches pre-event ensemble forecast consensus from ECMWF and other models, which projected highs of 17–20°C amid a mild Atlantic airflow slightly boosting temperatures above Paris's April climatological average of 16°C. Trader sentiment at 100% implied probability reflects full alignment with these quality-controlled hourly measurements, underscoring prediction markets' efficiency in aggregating verified data. Realistic challenges are negligible but could arise from rare post hoc data audits revealing sensor errors, though Météo-France's validation processes minimize such risks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
音量
$679,419終了日
2026/04/16マーケット開始日
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Météo-France observations from the Charles de Gaulle Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm a peak temperature of 19°C on April 16, recorded around midday under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and no significant precipitation. This outcome matches pre-event ensemble forecast consensus from ECMWF and other models, which projected highs of 17–20°C amid a mild Atlantic airflow slightly boosting temperatures above Paris's April climatological average of 16°C. Trader sentiment at 100% implied probability reflects full alignment with these quality-controlled hourly measurements, underscoring prediction markets' efficiency in aggregating verified data. Realistic challenges are negligible but could arise from rare post hoc data audits revealing sensor errors, though Météo-France's validation processes minimize such risks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$679,419終了日
2026/04/16マーケット開始日
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Official Météo-France observations from the Charles de Gaulle Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm a peak temperature of 19°C on April 16, recorded around midday under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and no significant precipitation. This outcome matches pre-event ensemble forecast consensus from ECMWF and other models, which projected highs of 17–20°C amid a mild Atlantic airflow slightly boosting temperatures above Paris's April climatological average of 16°C. Trader sentiment at 100% implied probability reflects full alignment with these quality-controlled hourly measurements, underscoring prediction markets' efficiency in aggregating verified data. Realistic challenges are negligible but could arise from rare post hoc data audits revealing sensor errors, though Météo-France's validation processes minimize such risks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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