Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 18°C high at 38.5% and 19°C at 33% for Paris on April 16, closely split amid forecast uncertainty from partly cloudy to veiled skies per recent Météo-France updates via regional outlooks. After mild highs of 18°C on April 14-15 following a prior heat wave, the warming trend suggests potential for 20°C under increased insolation, but persistent cloud cover—forecast without major precipitation—could limit solar heating and boundary layer warming, capping temperatures 1-2°C below sunnier analogs. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS show spread around 18-20°C, aligning with April climatology (historical mean ~16°C). Watch today's 12z runs and intraday observations for shifts ahead of resolution at official Paris stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Paris on April 16?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 16?
18°C 39%
19°C 35%
20°C 12%
17°C 10%
13°C or below
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
5%
17°C
10%
18°C
39%
19°C
35%
20°C
12%
21°C
6%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
1%
18°C 39%
19°C 35%
20°C 12%
17°C 10%
13°C or below
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
5%
17°C
10%
18°C
39%
19°C
35%
20°C
12%
21°C
6%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 18°C high at 38.5% and 19°C at 33% for Paris on April 16, closely split amid forecast uncertainty from partly cloudy to veiled skies per recent Météo-France updates via regional outlooks. After mild highs of 18°C on April 14-15 following a prior heat wave, the warming trend suggests potential for 20°C under increased insolation, but persistent cloud cover—forecast without major precipitation—could limit solar heating and boundary layer warming, capping temperatures 1-2°C below sunnier analogs. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS show spread around 18-20°C, aligning with April climatology (historical mean ~16°C). Watch today's 12z runs and intraday observations for shifts ahead of resolution at official Paris stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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