Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 17°C (38%) for London on April 16, closely tracking the latest Met Office forecast of 16°C and BBC Weather's 17°C projection amid light showers and southwesterly winds gusting to 25 mph. This positioning reflects a sharp cooldown from early April's record-breaking warmth—peaking at 26.5°C in Kew Gardens on April 8, one of the hottest early April days in 80 years—driven by an incoming Atlantic low-pressure system bringing persistent cloud cover, drizzle, and moderating southerly flows that cap daytime heating. Forecast models show tight consensus around 16-18°C, with uncertainty from variable rain timing; official Met Office observations at Heathrow and central sites will resolve the market, typically updated hourly through the afternoon peak.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in London on April 16?
Highest temperature in London on April 16?
17°C 38%
16°C 27%
18°C 24%
15°C 10.5%
12°C or below
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
5%
15°C
11%
16°C
27%
17°C
38%
18°C
24%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 38%
16°C 27%
18°C 24%
15°C 10.5%
12°C or below
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
5%
15°C
11%
16°C
27%
17°C
38%
18°C
24%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 17°C (38%) for London on April 16, closely tracking the latest Met Office forecast of 16°C and BBC Weather's 17°C projection amid light showers and southwesterly winds gusting to 25 mph. This positioning reflects a sharp cooldown from early April's record-breaking warmth—peaking at 26.5°C in Kew Gardens on April 8, one of the hottest early April days in 80 years—driven by an incoming Atlantic low-pressure system bringing persistent cloud cover, drizzle, and moderating southerly flows that cap daytime heating. Forecast models show tight consensus around 16-18°C, with uncertainty from variable rain timing; official Met Office observations at Heathrow and central sites will resolve the market, typically updated hourly through the afternoon peak.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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