India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 39°C in Lucknow on April 16 under mainly clear skies, with minimums rising to 23°C, yet trader consensus favors 40°C (33% implied probability) and 41°C (29%) as frontrunners, reflecting inherent uncertainty in peak daytime heating. Recent observations show April 13 max at 36.1°C and April 14 min at 19.8°C, with national IMD bulletins noting a gradual 4-6°C rise in northwest and central India maxima over the next week amid dry continental air and strong insolation. Differentiating factors include urban heat island effects at Chaudhary Charan Singh Airport observatory, low humidity suppressing cloud formation, and minimal winds—potentially pushing peaks 1-2°C above guidance during 2-4 PM hours. Updated IMD forecasts expected April 15 evening could refine model consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 16?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 16?
40°C 34%
41°C 28%
39°C 19%
42°C 9%
37°C or below
2%
38°C
4%
39°C
19%
40°C
34%
41°C
28%
42°C
9%
43°C
3%
44°C
2%
45°C
3%
46°C
1%
47°C or higher
1%
40°C 34%
41°C 28%
39°C 19%
42°C 9%
37°C or below
2%
38°C
4%
39°C
19%
40°C
34%
41°C
28%
42°C
9%
43°C
3%
44°C
2%
45°C
3%
46°C
1%
47°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 14, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 39°C in Lucknow on April 16 under mainly clear skies, with minimums rising to 23°C, yet trader consensus favors 40°C (33% implied probability) and 41°C (29%) as frontrunners, reflecting inherent uncertainty in peak daytime heating. Recent observations show April 13 max at 36.1°C and April 14 min at 19.8°C, with national IMD bulletins noting a gradual 4-6°C rise in northwest and central India maxima over the next week amid dry continental air and strong insolation. Differentiating factors include urban heat island effects at Chaudhary Charan Singh Airport observatory, low humidity suppressing cloud formation, and minimal winds—potentially pushing peaks 1-2°C above guidance during 2-4 PM hours. Updated IMD forecasts expected April 15 evening could refine model consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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