Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Milan's highest temperature on April 16 around 22-24°C amid a high-pressure ridge building over central Europe, driving trader consensus with 23°C leading at 33% implied probability, closely trailed by 22°C and 24°C at 26.5% each. This tight clustering reflects model spread: warmer members anticipate sunnier skies and southerly winds boosting peaks to 24°C, while cooler outliers factor in potential mid-level clouds or lighter mixing capping at 22°C. April climatology averages 18-19°C highs at Milan Linate Airport (market resolution site), but recent above-normal trends—e.g., April 13 at 20°C+ at Malpensa—support the elevated odds. New 12Z runs tomorrow could refine trajectories ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Milan on April 16?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 16?
22°C 28%
24°C 25%
23°C 23%
25°C 14%
新規
新規
2026/04/16
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
4%
22°C
28%
23°C
23%
24°C
25%
25°C
14%
26°C
6%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
1%
22°C 28%
24°C 25%
23°C 23%
25°C 14%
新規
新規
2026/04/16
18°C or below
$187 Vol.
1%
19°C
$174 Vol.
1%
20°C
$281 Vol.
3%
21°C
$260 Vol.
4%
22°C
$258 Vol.
28%
23°C
$190 Vol.
23%
24°C
$148 Vol.
25%
25°C
$147 Vol.
14%
26°C
$255 Vol.
6%
27°C
$187 Vol.
2%
28°C or higher
$164 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Milan's highest temperature on April 16 around 22-24°C amid a high-pressure ridge building over central Europe, driving trader consensus with 23°C leading at 33% implied probability, closely trailed by 22°C and 24°C at 26.5% each. This tight clustering reflects model spread: warmer members anticipate sunnier skies and southerly winds boosting peaks to 24°C, while cooler outliers factor in potential mid-level clouds or lighter mixing capping at 22°C. April climatology averages 18-19°C highs at Milan Linate Airport (market resolution site), but recent above-normal trends—e.g., April 13 at 20°C+ at Malpensa—support the elevated odds. New 12Z runs tomorrow could refine trajectories ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 14, 2026, 6:26 PM ET
音量
$2,246終了日
2026/04/16マーケット開始日
Apr 14, 2026, 6:26 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Milan's highest temperature on April 16 around 22-24°C amid a high-pressure ridge building over central Europe, driving trader consensus with 23°C leading at 33% implied probability, closely trailed by 22°C and 24°C at 26.5% each. This tight clustering reflects model spread: warmer members anticipate sunnier skies and southerly winds boosting peaks to 24°C, while cooler outliers factor in potential mid-level clouds or lighter mixing capping at 22°C. April climatology averages 18-19°C highs at Milan Linate Airport (market resolution site), but recent above-normal trends—e.g., April 13 at 20°C+ at Malpensa—support the elevated odds. New 12Z runs tomorrow could refine trajectories ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$2,246終了日
2026/04/16マーケット開始日
Apr 14, 2026, 6:26 PM ETLatest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Milan's highest temperature on April 16 around 22-24°C amid a high-pressure ridge building over central Europe, driving trader consensus with 23°C leading at 33% implied probability, closely trailed by 22°C and 24°C at 26.5% each. This tight clustering reflects model spread: warmer members anticipate sunnier skies and southerly winds boosting peaks to 24°C, while cooler outliers factor in potential mid-level clouds or lighter mixing capping at 22°C. April climatology averages 18-19°C highs at Milan Linate Airport (market resolution site), but recent above-normal trends—e.g., April 13 at 20°C+ at Malpensa—support the elevated odds. New 12Z runs tomorrow could refine trajectories ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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