**Trader sentiment strongly favors a 24°C low in Shanghai on June 18, 2026, reflecting consistent forecast guidance and typical mid-June climatology.** Official and model outputs from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate project an overnight minimum near 24–25°C (76°F), driven by the East Asian summer monsoon’s warm, humid air mass, high dew points, and limited radiational cooling under cloudy or overcast conditions. Historical baselines for Shanghai in mid-June show average lows of 21–24°C, with recent observations (June 16–17) recording minima around 22–23°C before a slight uptick. No significant cold advection, frontal passage, or clear-sky radiative cooling event has appeared in the latest model runs, keeping probabilities for 23°C or below under 12% combined. With resolution imminent on the same calendar day, traders have converged on the 24°C outcome at 90% implied probability, consistent with the narrow uncertainty band in current guidance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月18日の上海の最低気温は？
6月18日の上海の最低気温は？
24°C 100.0%
19°C以下 <1%
20°C <1%
21℃ <1%
$35,998 Vol.
$35,998 Vol.
2026/06/18
19°C以下
いいえ
20°C
いいえ
21℃
いいえ
22°C
いいえ
23°C
いいえ
24°C
はい
25°C
いいえ
26°C
いいえ
27°C
いいえ
28℃
いいえ
29°C以上
いいえ
24°C 100.0%
19°C以下 <1%
20°C <1%
21℃ <1%
$35,998 Vol.
$35,998 Vol.
2026/06/18
19°C以下
$1,643 Vol.
いいえ
20°C
$2,171 Vol.
いいえ
21℃
$1,519 Vol.
いいえ
22°C
$3,568 Vol.
いいえ
23°C
$14,005 Vol.
いいえ
24°C
$8,590 Vol.
はい
25°C
$2,271 Vol.
いいえ
26°C
$1,065 Vol.
いいえ
27°C
$398 Vol.
いいえ
28℃
$403 Vol.
いいえ
29°C以上
$363 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment strongly favors a 24°C low in Shanghai on June 18, 2026, reflecting consistent forecast guidance and typical mid-June climatology.**
Official and model outputs from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate project an overnight minimum near 24–25°C (76°F), driven by the East Asian summer monsoon’s warm, humid air mass, high dew points, and limited radiational cooling under cloudy or overcast conditions. Historical baselines for Shanghai in mid-June show average lows of 21–24°C, with recent observations (June 16–17) recording minima around 22–23°C before a slight uptick. No significant cold advection, frontal passage, or clear-sky radiative cooling event has appeared in the latest model runs, keeping probabilities for 23°C or below under 12% combined.
With resolution imminent on the same calendar day, traders have converged on the 24°C outcome at 90% implied probability, consistent with the narrow uncertainty band in current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$35,998終了日
2026/06/18マーケット開始日
Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment strongly favors a 24°C low in Shanghai on June 18, 2026, reflecting consistent forecast guidance and typical mid-June climatology.**
Official and model outputs from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate project an overnight minimum near 24–25°C (76°F), driven by the East Asian summer monsoon’s warm, humid air mass, high dew points, and limited radiational cooling under cloudy or overcast conditions. Historical baselines for Shanghai in mid-June show average lows of 21–24°C, with recent observations (June 16–17) recording minima around 22–23°C before a slight uptick. No significant cold advection, frontal passage, or clear-sky radiative cooling event has appeared in the latest model runs, keeping probabilities for 23°C or below under 12% combined.
With resolution imminent on the same calendar day, traders have converged on the 24°C outcome at 90% implied probability, consistent with the narrow uncertainty band in current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$35,998終了日
2026/06/18マーケット開始日
Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
**Trader sentiment strongly favors a 24°C low in Shanghai on June 18, 2026, reflecting consistent forecast guidance and typical mid-June climatology.** Official and model outputs from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate project an overnight minimum near 24–25°C (76°F), driven by the East Asian summer monsoon’s warm, humid air mass, high dew points, and limited radiational cooling under cloudy or overcast conditions. Historical baselines for Shanghai in mid-June show average lows of 21–24°C, with recent observations (June 16–17) recording minima around 22–23°C before a slight uptick. No significant cold advection, frontal passage, or clear-sky radiative cooling event has appeared in the latest model runs, keeping probabilities for 23°C or below under 12% combined. With resolution imminent on the same calendar day, traders have converged on the 24°C outcome at 90% implied probability, consistent with the narrow uncertainty band in current guidance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問