Confirmed Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) surface observations at Tokyo stations, including Haneda Airport, recorded the daily minimum temperature of 14°C during early morning hours on April 22 under partly cloudy skies and mild southerly winds, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Hourly readings show subsequent daytime warming amid stable high-pressure influence, preventing further drops, aligning with resolved forecast model ensembles from JMA and ECMWF that initially varied slightly around 14–15°C due to cloud cover uncertainties. Mid-April climatological norms place average lows near 11°C, but current mild conditions support the positioning. Rare challenges like data revisions or anomalous late cooling remain improbable, with JMA's final daily summary pending.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4月22日の東京の最低気温は?
14℃ 100.0%
10°C以下 <1%
11°C <1%
12℃ <1%
$76,043 Vol.
$76,043 Vol.
10°C以下
いいえ
11°C
いいえ
12℃
いいえ
13℃
いいえ
14℃
はい
15℃
いいえ
16℃
いいえ
17℃
いいえ
18℃
いいえ
19°C
いいえ
20°C以上
いいえ
14℃ 100.0%
10°C以下 <1%
11°C <1%
12℃ <1%
$76,043 Vol.
$76,043 Vol.
10°C以下
いいえ
11°C
いいえ
12℃
いいえ
13℃
いいえ
14℃
はい
15℃
いいえ
16℃
いいえ
17℃
いいえ
18℃
いいえ
19°C
いいえ
20°C以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 20, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Confirmed Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) surface observations at Tokyo stations, including Haneda Airport, recorded the daily minimum temperature of 14°C during early morning hours on April 22 under partly cloudy skies and mild southerly winds, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Hourly readings show subsequent daytime warming amid stable high-pressure influence, preventing further drops, aligning with resolved forecast model ensembles from JMA and ECMWF that initially varied slightly around 14–15°C due to cloud cover uncertainties. Mid-April climatological norms place average lows near 11°C, but current mild conditions support the positioning. Rare challenges like data revisions or anomalous late cooling remain improbable, with JMA's final daily summary pending.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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