Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Michael Jackson biopic exceeding $55 million in its second domestic weekend (64.3% implied probability), propelled by a robust $14 million-plus second Friday— the highest ever for a musical biopic—surpassing initial tracking of $45-50 million. Building on its record-shattering $97 million opening and strong weekdays like a record $11 million Tuesday, the film has crossed $300 million worldwide mid-run, shrugging off poor critical reception through enthusiastic fan word-of-mouth and audience scores. Upward projections to $50-60 million reflect limited competition and sustained buzz, with final tallies Sunday potentially cementing its legs as the top musical biopic holdout.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日「マイケル」第2週末興行収入
「マイケル」第2週末興行収入
>5,500万 64.3%
5000万〜5500万 33%
4500万〜5000万 1.3%
3,500万未満 <1%
$62,852 Vol.
$62,852 Vol.
2026/05/04
3,500万未満
1%
3,500万～4,000万
<1%
4000万〜4500万
<1%
4500万〜5000万
1%
5000万〜5500万
33%
>5,500万
64%
>5,500万 64.3%
5000万〜5500万 33%
4500万〜5000万 1.3%
3,500万未満 <1%
$62,852 Vol.
$62,852 Vol.
2026/05/04
3,500万未満
$5,267 Vol.
1%
3,500万～4,000万
$10,397 Vol.
<1%
4000万〜4500万
$5,317 Vol.
<1%
4500万〜5000万
$9,955 Vol.
1%
5000万〜5500万
$15,690 Vol.
33%
>5,500万
$16,226 Vol.
64%
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 1 - May 3) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Michael Jackson biopic exceeding $55 million in its second domestic weekend (64.3% implied probability), propelled by a robust $14 million-plus second Friday— the highest ever for a musical biopic—surpassing initial tracking of $45-50 million. Building on its record-shattering $97 million opening and strong weekdays like a record $11 million Tuesday, the film has crossed $300 million worldwide mid-run, shrugging off poor critical reception through enthusiastic fan word-of-mouth and audience scores. Upward projections to $50-60 million reflect limited competition and sustained buzz, with final tallies Sunday potentially cementing its legs as the top musical biopic holdout.
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 1 - May 3) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
マーケット開始日： Apr 30, 2026, 11:26 AM ET
音量
$62,852終了日
2026/05/04マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 11:26 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 1 - May 3) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Michael Jackson biopic exceeding $55 million in its second domestic weekend (64.3% implied probability), propelled by a robust $14 million-plus second Friday— the highest ever for a musical biopic—surpassing initial tracking of $45-50 million. Building on its record-shattering $97 million opening and strong weekdays like a record $11 million Tuesday, the film has crossed $300 million worldwide mid-run, shrugging off poor critical reception through enthusiastic fan word-of-mouth and audience scores. Upward projections to $50-60 million reflect limited competition and sustained buzz, with final tallies Sunday potentially cementing its legs as the top musical biopic holdout.
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 1 - May 3) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
音量
$62,852終了日
2026/05/04マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 11:26 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Michael Jackson biopic exceeding $55 million in its second domestic weekend (64.3% implied probability), propelled by a robust $14 million-plus second Friday— the highest ever for a musical biopic—surpassing initial tracking of $45-50 million. Building on its record-shattering $97 million opening and strong weekdays like a record $11 million Tuesday, the film has crossed $300 million worldwide mid-run, shrugging off poor critical reception through enthusiastic fan word-of-mouth and audience scores. Upward projections to $50-60 million reflect limited competition and sustained buzz, with final tallies Sunday potentially cementing its legs as the top musical biopic holdout.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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