Narendra Modi continues to lead India's NDA government in his third term following the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, with the next general election scheduled for 2029. In June 2026 he marked a record as the longest-serving elected prime minister, surpassing Jawaharlal Nehru, prompting cabinet resolutions and party tributes that underscored political stability and policy continuity. Recent weeks show Modi actively inaugurating major projects, addressing fintech and infrastructure events, and advancing initiatives such as AI skilling and energy programs, with no verified signs of resignation, coalition fracture, or institutional pressure for early departure. Isolated opposition claims and debunked social media rumors have produced no measurable shift in his position. Traders therefore assign a 93.7 percent probability to the "No" outcome, reflecting the absence of any near-term catalyst capable of ending his tenure before year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
6% 確率
$251,083 Vol.
$251,083 Vol.
2026/12/30
はい
6% 確率
$251,083 Vol.
$251,083 Vol.
2026/12/30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi continues to lead India's NDA government in his third term following the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, with the next general election scheduled for 2029. In June 2026 he marked a record as the longest-serving elected prime minister, surpassing Jawaharlal Nehru, prompting cabinet resolutions and party tributes that underscored political stability and policy continuity. Recent weeks show Modi actively inaugurating major projects, addressing fintech and infrastructure events, and advancing initiatives such as AI skilling and energy programs, with no verified signs of resignation, coalition fracture, or institutional pressure for early departure. Isolated opposition claims and debunked social media rumors have produced no measurable shift in his position. Traders therefore assign a 93.7 percent probability to the "No" outcome, reflecting the absence of any near-term catalyst capable of ending his tenure before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
音量
$251,083終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi continues to lead India's NDA government in his third term following the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, with the next general election scheduled for 2029. In June 2026 he marked a record as the longest-serving elected prime minister, surpassing Jawaharlal Nehru, prompting cabinet resolutions and party tributes that underscored political stability and policy continuity. Recent weeks show Modi actively inaugurating major projects, addressing fintech and infrastructure events, and advancing initiatives such as AI skilling and energy programs, with no verified signs of resignation, coalition fracture, or institutional pressure for early departure. Isolated opposition claims and debunked social media rumors have produced no measurable shift in his position. Traders therefore assign a 93.7 percent probability to the "No" outcome, reflecting the absence of any near-term catalyst capable of ending his tenure before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$251,083終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Narendra Modi continues to lead India's NDA government in his third term following the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, with the next general election scheduled for 2029. In June 2026 he marked a record as the longest-serving elected prime minister, surpassing Jawaharlal Nehru, prompting cabinet resolutions and party tributes that underscored political stability and policy continuity. Recent weeks show Modi actively inaugurating major projects, addressing fintech and infrastructure events, and advancing initiatives such as AI skilling and energy programs, with no verified signs of resignation, coalition fracture, or institutional pressure for early departure. Isolated opposition claims and debunked social media rumors have produced no measurable shift in his position. Traders therefore assign a 93.7 percent probability to the "No" outcome, reflecting the absence of any near-term catalyst capable of ending his tenure before year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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