OpenAI’s rapid iteration cadence after the early September GPT-6 Astra launch, combined with continued refinement of the GPT-5.6 Sol family and competitive pressure from rivals, has driven trader consensus toward an imminent 5.7+ Sol release. The 82% implied probability for a launch on or before September 22 reflects recent API governance updates, pricing adjustments, and internal capability demonstrations that align with OpenAI’s pattern of frequent frontier-model drops. Key swing factors include any last-minute safety or regulatory reviews that could push the timeline, while the low odds on later dates highlight the market’s expectation that development momentum and user demand will favor a near-term rollout.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2026年9月22日まで 71.4%
9月23日 9%
9月24日 4.1%
10月1日 3.5%
新規
$30,030 Vol.
新規
$30,030 Vol.
2026/09/22
2026年9月22日まで
73%
9月23日
9%
9月24日
4%
9月25日
1%
9月26日
1%
9月27日
1%
9月28日
1%
9月29日
3%
9月30日
1%
10月1日
4%
10月2日
1%
10月3日
3%
10月4日
<1%
10月5日
2%
2026年10月5日までにリリースなし
<1%
2026年9月22日まで 71.4%
9月23日 9%
9月24日 4.1%
10月1日 3.5%
新規
$30,030 Vol.
新規
$30,030 Vol.
2026/09/22
2026年9月22日まで
$9,124 Vol.
73%
9月23日
$2,312 Vol.
9%
9月24日
$1,891 Vol.
4%
9月25日
$1,484 Vol.
1%
9月26日
$1,599 Vol.
1%
9月27日
$1,599 Vol.
1%
9月28日
$1,254 Vol.
1%
9月29日
$1,873 Vol.
3%
9月30日
$1,474 Vol.
1%
10月1日
$1,219 Vol.
4%
10月2日
$1,361 Vol.
1%
10月3日
$1,413 Vol.
3%
10月4日
$777 Vol.
<1%
10月5日
$1,347 Vol.
2%
2026年10月5日までにリリースなし
$1,302 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's next GPT Sol model (5.7+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Sol" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Sol would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Sol or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Sol" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, GPT-5.6 Luna, or GPT-6 Astra (released September 4, 2026), will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s rapid iteration cadence after the early September GPT-6 Astra launch, combined with continued refinement of the GPT-5.6 Sol family and competitive pressure from rivals, has driven trader consensus toward an imminent 5.7+ Sol release. The 82% implied probability for a launch on or before September 22 reflects recent API governance updates, pricing adjustments, and internal capability demonstrations that align with OpenAI’s pattern of frequent frontier-model drops. Key swing factors include any last-minute safety or regulatory reviews that could push the timeline, while the low odds on later dates highlight the market’s expectation that development momentum and user demand will favor a near-term rollout.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's next GPT Sol model (5.7+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Sol" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Sol would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Sol or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Sol" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, GPT-5.6 Luna, or GPT-6 Astra (released September 4, 2026), will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Sol" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Sol would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Sol or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Sol" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, GPT-5.6 Luna, or GPT-6 Astra (released September 4, 2026), will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Sep 21, 2026, 5:01 PM ET
音量
$30,030終了日
2026/10/06マーケット開始日
Sep 21, 2026, 5:01 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's next GPT Sol model (5.7+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Sol" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Sol would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Sol or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Sol" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, GPT-5.6 Luna, or GPT-6 Astra (released September 4, 2026), will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s rapid iteration cadence after the early September GPT-6 Astra launch, combined with continued refinement of the GPT-5.6 Sol family and competitive pressure from rivals, has driven trader consensus toward an imminent 5.7+ Sol release. The 82% implied probability for a launch on or before September 22 reflects recent API governance updates, pricing adjustments, and internal capability demonstrations that align with OpenAI’s pattern of frequent frontier-model drops. Key swing factors include any last-minute safety or regulatory reviews that could push the timeline, while the low odds on later dates highlight the market’s expectation that development momentum and user demand will favor a near-term rollout.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's next GPT Sol model (5.7+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Sol" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Sol would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Sol or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Sol" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, GPT-5.6 Luna, or GPT-6 Astra (released September 4, 2026), will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Sol" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Sol would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Sol or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Sol" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, GPT-5.6 Luna, or GPT-6 Astra (released September 4, 2026), will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$30,030終了日
2026/10/06マーケット開始日
Sep 21, 2026, 5:01 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s rapid iteration cadence after the early September GPT-6 Astra launch, combined with continued refinement of the GPT-5.6 Sol family and competitive pressure from rivals, has driven trader consensus toward an imminent 5.7+ Sol release. The 82% implied probability for a launch on or before September 22 reflects recent API governance updates, pricing adjustments, and internal capability demonstrations that align with OpenAI’s pattern of frequent frontier-model drops. Key swing factors include any last-minute safety or regulatory reviews that could push the timeline, while the low odds on later dates highlight the market’s expectation that development momentum and user demand will favor a near-term rollout.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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