Traders assign a 96.5% probability to “Nothing” because no qualifying major events—such as new military strikes, rate cuts, ceasefires, or other specified triggers—have materialized through the final days of May. Ongoing conflicts and routine diplomatic activity have remained within established patterns without crossing market-defined thresholds, reinforcing the wisdom-of-crowds assessment that the month will close without resolution-altering developments. A sudden announcement, escalation, or policy shift in the remaining hours could still alter the outcome before the May 31 cutoff.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日何もない
$190,173 Vol.
$190,173 Vol.
2026/05/31
何もない
$190,173 Vol.
$190,173 Vol.
2026/05/31
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdfTraders assign a 96.5% probability to “Nothing” because no qualifying major events—such as new military strikes, rate cuts, ceasefires, or other specified triggers—have materialized through the final days of May. Ongoing conflicts and routine diplomatic activity have remained within established patterns without crossing market-defined thresholds, reinforcing the wisdom-of-crowds assessment that the month will close without resolution-altering developments. A sudden announcement, escalation, or policy shift in the remaining hours could still alter the outcome before the May 31 cutoff.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdf
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdf
マーケット開始日： Apr 30, 2026, 3:14 PM ET
音量
$190,173終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 3:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdfTraders assign a 96.5% probability to “Nothing” because no qualifying major events—such as new military strikes, rate cuts, ceasefires, or other specified triggers—have materialized through the final days of May. Ongoing conflicts and routine diplomatic activity have remained within established patterns without crossing market-defined thresholds, reinforcing the wisdom-of-crowds assessment that the month will close without resolution-altering developments. A sudden announcement, escalation, or policy shift in the remaining hours could still alter the outcome before the May 31 cutoff.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdf
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdf
音量
$190,173終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 3:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign a 96.5% probability to “Nothing” because no qualifying major events—such as new military strikes, rate cuts, ceasefires, or other specified triggers—have materialized through the final days of May. Ongoing conflicts and routine diplomatic activity have remained within established patterns without crossing market-defined thresholds, reinforcing the wisdom-of-crowds assessment that the month will close without resolution-altering developments. A sudden announcement, escalation, or policy shift in the remaining hours could still alter the outcome before the May 31 cutoff.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
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