Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 58.5% implied probability to "Nothing" in the "Nothing Ever Happens: March" market, reflecting confirmation that none of the specified triggers materialized by March 31, 2026. The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady at 3.5%-3.75% during its March meeting, avoiding a rate cut. President Trump issued no national emergency declaration on election interference, and the Insurrection Act remained uninvoked. The SAVE Act stalled in Congress without passage into law. Texas Senate primaries produced James Talarico as the Democratic nominee but placed incumbent John Cornyn in a GOP runoff, failing the dual-candidacy condition for the general election. Iran's leadership transitioned to Mojtaba Khamenei on March 8 following his father's February death, but the regime showed no signs of falling. With primaries now certified and no disputes elevating uncertainty, traders anticipate UMA oracle resolution to "Nothing," though the market remains open pending full verification.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日何もない
$336,344 Vol.
$336,344 Vol.
2026/03/31
何もない
$336,344 Vol.
$336,344 Vol.
2026/03/31
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 58.5% implied probability to "Nothing" in the "Nothing Ever Happens: March" market, reflecting confirmation that none of the specified triggers materialized by March 31, 2026. The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady at 3.5%-3.75% during its March meeting, avoiding a rate cut. President Trump issued no national emergency declaration on election interference, and the Insurrection Act remained uninvoked. The SAVE Act stalled in Congress without passage into law. Texas Senate primaries produced James Talarico as the Democratic nominee but placed incumbent John Cornyn in a GOP runoff, failing the dual-candidacy condition for the general election. Iran's leadership transitioned to Mojtaba Khamenei on March 8 following his father's February death, but the regime showed no signs of falling. With primaries now certified and no disputes elevating uncertainty, traders anticipate UMA oracle resolution to "Nothing," though the market remains open pending full verification.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
マーケット開始日： Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ET
音量
$336,344終了日
2026/03/31マーケット開始日
Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 58.5% implied probability to "Nothing" in the "Nothing Ever Happens: March" market, reflecting confirmation that none of the specified triggers materialized by March 31, 2026. The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady at 3.5%-3.75% during its March meeting, avoiding a rate cut. President Trump issued no national emergency declaration on election interference, and the Insurrection Act remained uninvoked. The SAVE Act stalled in Congress without passage into law. Texas Senate primaries produced James Talarico as the Democratic nominee but placed incumbent John Cornyn in a GOP runoff, failing the dual-candidacy condition for the general election. Iran's leadership transitioned to Mojtaba Khamenei on March 8 following his father's February death, but the regime showed no signs of falling. With primaries now certified and no disputes elevating uncertainty, traders anticipate UMA oracle resolution to "Nothing," though the market remains open pending full verification.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
音量
$336,344終了日
2026/03/31マーケット開始日
Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 58.5% implied probability to "Nothing" in the "Nothing Ever Happens: March" market, reflecting confirmation that none of the specified triggers materialized by March 31, 2026. The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady at 3.5%-3.75% during its March meeting, avoiding a rate cut. President Trump issued no national emergency declaration on election interference, and the Insurrection Act remained uninvoked. The SAVE Act stalled in Congress without passage into law. Texas Senate primaries produced James Talarico as the Democratic nominee but placed incumbent John Cornyn in a GOP runoff, failing the dual-candidacy condition for the general election. Iran's leadership transitioned to Mojtaba Khamenei on March 8 following his father's February death, but the regime showed no signs of falling. With primaries now certified and no disputes elevating uncertainty, traders anticipate UMA oracle resolution to "Nothing," though the market remains open pending full verification.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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