Trader consensus reflects deep uncertainty for US flight delays on April 6, with even pricing across buckets from under 4,000 to over 7,000 amid ongoing FAA air traffic control staffing shortages at key hubs like Newark and new capacity restrictions at SFO from runway construction and safety rules. Recent FAA reports highlight low clouds potentially impacting Northeast airports including Boston, New York, and Philadelphia, while spring break travel surges push volumes toward record highs, aligning with March averages of around 5,600 delays daily. Absent major catalysts like severe thunderstorms, widespread ground stops, or airline system outages—echoing recent winter storm disruptions—odds remain tightly clustered; emerging weather patterns or ATC alerts in the next 48 hours could drive separation toward higher ranges.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日4,500-5,000 49%
5,000-5,500 49%
5,500-6,000 49%
6,000-6,500 49%
新規
新規
2026/04/06
<4,000
48%
4,000-4,500
48%
4,500-5,000
49%
5,000-5,500
49%
5,500-6,000
49%
6,000-6,500
49%
6,500-7,000
48%
>7,000
49%
4,500-5,000 49%
5,000-5,500 49%
5,500-6,000 49%
6,000-6,500 49%
新規
新規
2026/04/06
<4,000
$0 Vol.
48%
4,000-4,500
$0 Vol.
48%
4,500-5,000
$0 Vol.
49%
5,000-5,500
$0 Vol.
49%
5,500-6,000
$0 Vol.
49%
6,000-6,500
$0 Vol.
49%
6,500-7,000
$0 Vol.
48%
>7,000
$0 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 6, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus reflects deep uncertainty for US flight delays on April 6, with even pricing across buckets from under 4,000 to over 7,000 amid ongoing FAA air traffic control staffing shortages at key hubs like Newark and new capacity restrictions at SFO from runway construction and safety rules. Recent FAA reports highlight low clouds potentially impacting Northeast airports including Boston, New York, and Philadelphia, while spring break travel surges push volumes toward record highs, aligning with March averages of around 5,600 delays daily. Absent major catalysts like severe thunderstorms, widespread ground stops, or airline system outages—echoing recent winter storm disruptions—odds remain tightly clustered; emerging weather patterns or ATC alerts in the next 48 hours could drive separation toward higher ranges.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 6, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
マーケット開始日： Apr 3, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Apr 3, 2026, 7:24 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 6, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus reflects deep uncertainty for US flight delays on April 6, with even pricing across buckets from under 4,000 to over 7,000 amid ongoing FAA air traffic control staffing shortages at key hubs like Newark and new capacity restrictions at SFO from runway construction and safety rules. Recent FAA reports highlight low clouds potentially impacting Northeast airports including Boston, New York, and Philadelphia, while spring break travel surges push volumes toward record highs, aligning with March averages of around 5,600 delays daily. Absent major catalysts like severe thunderstorms, widespread ground stops, or airline system outages—echoing recent winter storm disruptions—odds remain tightly clustered; emerging weather patterns or ATC alerts in the next 48 hours could drive separation toward higher ranges.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 6, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
音量
$0終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Apr 3, 2026, 7:24 PM ETTrader consensus reflects deep uncertainty for US flight delays on April 6, with even pricing across buckets from under 4,000 to over 7,000 amid ongoing FAA air traffic control staffing shortages at key hubs like Newark and new capacity restrictions at SFO from runway construction and safety rules. Recent FAA reports highlight low clouds potentially impacting Northeast airports including Boston, New York, and Philadelphia, while spring break travel surges push volumes toward record highs, aligning with March averages of around 5,600 delays daily. Absent major catalysts like severe thunderstorms, widespread ground stops, or airline system outages—echoing recent winter storm disruptions—odds remain tightly clustered; emerging weather patterns or ATC alerts in the next 48 hours could drive separation toward higher ranges.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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