Official Bureau of Transportation Statistics data confirms approximately 6,800 US commercial flights arrived over 15 minutes late on April 6, 2026—Easter Monday—locking trader consensus at 100% probability for the 6,500-7,000 bin amid peak post-holiday travel volume and lingering severe spring storms disrupting major hubs like Atlanta, Chicago O'Hare, New York-area airports, and San Francisco. FAA ground delay programs at SFO and Florida sites compounded air traffic control bottlenecks from high demand, elevating delays above typical spring averages of 5,000-6,000. While resolution awaits final DOT verification, realistic challenges include rare data revisions from carrier reports or reclassifications, though historical patterns show minimal post-preliminary adjustments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$19,889 Vol.
$19,889 Vol.
2026/04/06
6,000～6,500
いいえ
6,500〜7,000
はい
$19,889 Vol.
$19,889 Vol.
2026/04/06
6,000～6,500
$8,016 Vol.
いいえ
6,500〜7,000
$6,298 Vol.
はい
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 6, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Official Bureau of Transportation Statistics data confirms approximately 6,800 US commercial flights arrived over 15 minutes late on April 6, 2026—Easter Monday—locking trader consensus at 100% probability for the 6,500-7,000 bin amid peak post-holiday travel volume and lingering severe spring storms disrupting major hubs like Atlanta, Chicago O'Hare, New York-area airports, and San Francisco. FAA ground delay programs at SFO and Florida sites compounded air traffic control bottlenecks from high demand, elevating delays above typical spring averages of 5,000-6,000. While resolution awaits final DOT verification, realistic challenges include rare data revisions from carrier reports or reclassifications, though historical patterns show minimal post-preliminary adjustments.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 6, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
マーケット開始日： Apr 3, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
音量
$19,889終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Apr 3, 2026, 7:24 PM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 6, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Official Bureau of Transportation Statistics data confirms approximately 6,800 US commercial flights arrived over 15 minutes late on April 6, 2026—Easter Monday—locking trader consensus at 100% probability for the 6,500-7,000 bin amid peak post-holiday travel volume and lingering severe spring storms disrupting major hubs like Atlanta, Chicago O'Hare, New York-area airports, and San Francisco. FAA ground delay programs at SFO and Florida sites compounded air traffic control bottlenecks from high demand, elevating delays above typical spring averages of 5,000-6,000. While resolution awaits final DOT verification, realistic challenges include rare data revisions from carrier reports or reclassifications, though historical patterns show minimal post-preliminary adjustments.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 6, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
音量
$19,889終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Apr 3, 2026, 7:24 PM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Official Bureau of Transportation Statistics data confirms approximately 6,800 US commercial flights arrived over 15 minutes late on April 6, 2026—Easter Monday—locking trader consensus at 100% probability for the 6,500-7,000 bin amid peak post-holiday travel volume and lingering severe spring storms disrupting major hubs like Atlanta, Chicago O'Hare, New York-area airports, and San Francisco. FAA ground delay programs at SFO and Florida sites compounded air traffic control bottlenecks from high demand, elevating delays above typical spring averages of 5,000-6,000. While resolution awaits final DOT verification, realistic challenges include rare data revisions from carrier reports or reclassifications, though historical patterns show minimal post-preliminary adjustments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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