Recent polls for Pará’s two Senate seats show Helder Barbalho (MDB) holding a clear lead for first place, leaving a fragmented contest for second among roughly a dozen registered candidates including Delegado Éder Mauro (PL), Zequinha Marinho (Podemos), Celso Sabino (PDT), Chicão (União Brasil), and others. Latest surveys from July and early August place Éder Mauro ahead of the pack for second but with support levels close enough to several rivals that small shifts in turnout or alliances could reorder the field. The two-vote, first-round system and absence of a dominant challenger keep implied probabilities clustered, reflecting trader assessment of a still-open race two months before the October 4 election. Further polling, party conventions, or high-profile endorsements could quickly widen gaps among the contenders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日コンティ 45%
フェルナンダ・ロペス 45%
ブレノ・ギマランイス 44%
ウィレム・ダ・シルバ 44%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
コンティ
45%
フェルナンダ・ロペス
45%
ブレノ・ギマランイス
44%
ウィレム・ダ・シルバ
44%
デレガード・エデル・マウロ
44%
エドレイネ・ロドリゲス
44%
ジゼリ・フレイタス
44%
セルソ・サビーノ
44%
シカン
43%
ゼキーニャ・マリーニョ
43%
エルデル
42%
コンティ 45%
フェルナンダ・ロペス 45%
ブレノ・ギマランイス 44%
ウィレム・ダ・シルバ 44%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
コンティ
$0 Vol.
45%
フェルナンダ・ロペス
$0 Vol.
45%
ブレノ・ギマランイス
$0 Vol.
44%
ウィレム・ダ・シルバ
$0 Vol.
44%
デレガード・エデル・マウロ
$0 Vol.
44%
エドレイネ・ロドリゲス
$0 Vol.
44%
ジゼリ・フレイタス
$0 Vol.
44%
セルソ・サビーノ
$0 Vol.
44%
シカン
$0 Vol.
43%
ゼキーニャ・マリーニョ
$0 Vol.
43%
エルデル
$0 Vol.
42%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls for Pará’s two Senate seats show Helder Barbalho (MDB) holding a clear lead for first place, leaving a fragmented contest for second among roughly a dozen registered candidates including Delegado Éder Mauro (PL), Zequinha Marinho (Podemos), Celso Sabino (PDT), Chicão (União Brasil), and others. Latest surveys from July and early August place Éder Mauro ahead of the pack for second but with support levels close enough to several rivals that small shifts in turnout or alliances could reorder the field. The two-vote, first-round system and absence of a dominant challenger keep implied probabilities clustered, reflecting trader assessment of a still-open race two months before the October 4 election. Further polling, party conventions, or high-profile endorsements could quickly widen gaps among the contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls for Pará’s two Senate seats show Helder Barbalho (MDB) holding a clear lead for first place, leaving a fragmented contest for second among roughly a dozen registered candidates including Delegado Éder Mauro (PL), Zequinha Marinho (Podemos), Celso Sabino (PDT), Chicão (União Brasil), and others. Latest surveys from July and early August place Éder Mauro ahead of the pack for second but with support levels close enough to several rivals that small shifts in turnout or alliances could reorder the field. The two-vote, first-round system and absence of a dominant challenger keep implied probabilities clustered, reflecting trader assessment of a still-open race two months before the October 4 election. Further polling, party conventions, or high-profile endorsements could quickly widen gaps among the contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$0終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls for Pará’s two Senate seats show Helder Barbalho (MDB) holding a clear lead for first place, leaving a fragmented contest for second among roughly a dozen registered candidates including Delegado Éder Mauro (PL), Zequinha Marinho (Podemos), Celso Sabino (PDT), Chicão (União Brasil), and others. Latest surveys from July and early August place Éder Mauro ahead of the pack for second but with support levels close enough to several rivals that small shifts in turnout or alliances could reorder the field. The two-vote, first-round system and absence of a dominant challenger keep implied probabilities clustered, reflecting trader assessment of a still-open race two months before the October 4 election. Further polling, party conventions, or high-profile endorsements could quickly widen gaps among the contenders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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