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icon for パラナ州上院選挙: 2位

パラナ州上院選挙: 2位

icon for パラナ州上院選挙: 2位

パラナ州上院選挙: 2位

クリスチーナ・レイス・グライメル 45%

グレイシ 45%

ホアキン・ド・MLB 45%

カレン・ゲレイロ 45%

Polymarket
新規

クリスチーナ・レイス・グライメル 45%

グレイシ 45%

ホアキン・ド・MLB 45%

カレン・ゲレイロ 45%

Polymarket
新規
icon for クリスチーナ・レイス・グライメル

クリスチーナ・レイス・グライメル

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for グレイシ

グレイシ

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for ホアキン・ド・MLB

ホアキン・ド・MLB

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for カレン・ゲレイロ

カレン・ゲレイロ

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for ロジーニャ博士

ロジーニャ博士

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for アレクサンドレ・クリ

アレクサンドレ・クリ

$0 Vol.

37%

icon for デルタン・ダラニョウ

デルタン・ダラニョウ

$0 Vol.

37%

icon for フィリペ・バロス

フィリペ・バロス

$0 Vol.

37%

icon for マルセロ・マルセリーノ

マルセロ・マルセリーノ

$20 Vol.

10%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The race for second place in Paraná's 2026 Senate election remains tightly contested among multiple candidates, reflecting fragmented voter preferences behind frontrunner Álvaro Dias. Recent Genial/Quaest and other surveys show Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Deltan Dallagnol (Novo), Gleisi Hoffmann (PT), and Filipe Barros (PL) clustered within a few points in the low teens, with Dr. Rosinha and others also registering measurable support. This distribution stems from distinct regional bases, party alliances tied to Governor Ratinho Júnior, and varying name recognition from prior legislative or federal roles. No single contender has consolidated the anti-Dias vote, and upcoming party conventions or further polling releases could shift momentum by clarifying alliances or highlighting eligibility questions still pending with electoral authorities. Traders price this uncertainty through closely matched contracts on the leading names.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$20
終了日
2026/10/04
マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The race for second place in Paraná's 2026 Senate election remains tightly contested among multiple candidates, reflecting fragmented voter preferences behind frontrunner Álvaro Dias. Recent Genial/Quaest and other surveys show Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Deltan Dallagnol (Novo), Gleisi Hoffmann (PT), and Filipe Barros (PL) clustered within a few points in the low teens, with Dr. Rosinha and others also registering measurable support. This distribution stems from distinct regional bases, party alliances tied to Governor Ratinho Júnior, and varying name recognition from prior legislative or federal roles. No single contender has consolidated the anti-Dias vote, and upcoming party conventions or further polling releases could shift momentum by clarifying alliances or highlighting eligibility questions still pending with electoral authorities. Traders price this uncertainty through closely matched contracts on the leading names.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$20
終了日
2026/10/04
マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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よくある質問

「パラナ州上院選挙: 2位」はPolymarket上の9個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「クリスチーナ・レイス・グライメル」で45%、次いで「グレイシ」が45%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、45¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に45%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「パラナ州上院選挙: 2位」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Aug 17, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「パラナ州上院選挙: 2位」で取引するには、このページに記載されている9個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「パラナ州上院選挙: 2位」の現在のフロントランナーは「クリスチーナ・レイス・グライメル」で45%であり、市場がこの結果に45%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「グレイシ」で45%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「パラナ州上院選挙: 2位」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。