Pernambuco's 2026 Senate contest features a crowded field for the two seats, with first-place probabilities clustered tightly among leading contenders. Recent polling from April through June shows Marília Arraes (PDT) holding a narrow edge in vote intention, followed closely by Humberto Costa (PT), Mendonça Filho (PL), and Túlio Gadêlha (PSD). The fragmented candidate list, including several federal deputies and former officeholders, has kept the race competitive without a dominant frontrunner. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over late-campaign shifts, potential party alliances, and turnout patterns among key regional blocs ahead of the October 4 election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Paulo Rubem Santiago 44%
Samuel Timoteo 44%
Túlio Gadêlha 44%
Pastor Gilvan Costa 44%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
Paulo Rubem Santiago
44%
Samuel Timoteo
44%
Túlio Gadêlha
44%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
44%
Marília Arraes
43%
Mailson da Silva Neto
41%
Mariano Macedo
41%
Gorett Bitu
41%
Mendonça Filho
41%
Carlos Sant'Anna
41%
Eduardo da Fonte
41%
Humberto Costa
41%
Paulo Rubem Santiago 44%
Samuel Timoteo 44%
Túlio Gadêlha 44%
Pastor Gilvan Costa 44%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
Paulo Rubem Santiago
$0 Vol.
44%
Samuel Timoteo
$0 Vol.
44%
Túlio Gadêlha
$0 Vol.
44%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
$0 Vol.
44%
Marília Arraes
$0 Vol.
43%
Mailson da Silva Neto
$0 Vol.
41%
Mariano Macedo
$0 Vol.
41%
Gorett Bitu
$0 Vol.
41%
Mendonça Filho
$0 Vol.
41%
Carlos Sant'Anna
$0 Vol.
41%
Eduardo da Fonte
$0 Vol.
41%
Humberto Costa
$0 Vol.
41%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Pernambuco's 2026 Senate contest features a crowded field for the two seats, with first-place probabilities clustered tightly among leading contenders. Recent polling from April through June shows Marília Arraes (PDT) holding a narrow edge in vote intention, followed closely by Humberto Costa (PT), Mendonça Filho (PL), and Túlio Gadêlha (PSD). The fragmented candidate list, including several federal deputies and former officeholders, has kept the race competitive without a dominant frontrunner. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over late-campaign shifts, potential party alliances, and turnout patterns among key regional blocs ahead of the October 4 election.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Pernambuco's 2026 Senate contest features a crowded field for the two seats, with first-place probabilities clustered tightly among leading contenders. Recent polling from April through June shows Marília Arraes (PDT) holding a narrow edge in vote intention, followed closely by Humberto Costa (PT), Mendonça Filho (PL), and Túlio Gadêlha (PSD). The fragmented candidate list, including several federal deputies and former officeholders, has kept the race competitive without a dominant frontrunner. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over late-campaign shifts, potential party alliances, and turnout patterns among key regional blocs ahead of the October 4 election.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$0終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Pernambuco's 2026 Senate contest features a crowded field for the two seats, with first-place probabilities clustered tightly among leading contenders. Recent polling from April through June shows Marília Arraes (PDT) holding a narrow edge in vote intention, followed closely by Humberto Costa (PT), Mendonça Filho (PL), and Túlio Gadêlha (PSD). The fragmented candidate list, including several federal deputies and former officeholders, has kept the race competitive without a dominant frontrunner. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over late-campaign shifts, potential party alliances, and turnout patterns among key regional blocs ahead of the October 4 election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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