The Pernambuco Senate race for one of two seats remains highly competitive for second place, with trader consensus reflecting a fragmented field of over a dozen registered candidates following August party conventions. Recent April–August polling from firms like Quaest, Datafolha, and Real Time Big Data shows Marília Arraes (PDT) consistently leading with 18–28% support, while a tight battle persists among Humberto Costa (PT), Mendonça Filho (PL), Eduardo da Fonte (PP), Túlio Gadêlha (PSD), and others for the remaining position. Key factors sustaining the deadlock include Pernambuco’s polarized electorate, shifting party alliances, and the absence of decisive momentum shifts in the final stretch before the October 4 first-round vote. Late campaign events, turnout patterns among key voting blocs, or endorsements could still reorder the standings for second.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日マリリア・アラエス 44%
メンドンサ・フィーリョ 44%
ジルヴァン・コスタ牧師 44%
パウロ・ルーベン・サンティアゴ 44%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
マリリア・アラエス
44%
メンドンサ・フィーリョ
44%
ジルヴァン・コスタ牧師
44%
パウロ・ルーベン・サンティアゴ
44%
サミュエル・ティモテオ
44%
トゥリオ・ガデーリャ
44%
ウンベルト・コスタ
44%
マイウソン・ダ・シルバ・ネト
44%
マリアノ・マセド
44%
エドゥアルド・ダ・フォンチ
42%
カルロス・サンタナ
41%
ゴレット・ビトゥ
41%
マリリア・アラエス 44%
メンドンサ・フィーリョ 44%
ジルヴァン・コスタ牧師 44%
パウロ・ルーベン・サンティアゴ 44%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
マリリア・アラエス
$0 Vol.
44%
メンドンサ・フィーリョ
$0 Vol.
44%
ジルヴァン・コスタ牧師
$0 Vol.
44%
パウロ・ルーベン・サンティアゴ
$0 Vol.
44%
サミュエル・ティモテオ
$0 Vol.
44%
トゥリオ・ガデーリャ
$0 Vol.
44%
ウンベルト・コスタ
$0 Vol.
44%
マイウソン・ダ・シルバ・ネト
$0 Vol.
44%
マリアノ・マセド
$0 Vol.
44%
エドゥアルド・ダ・フォンチ
$0 Vol.
42%
カルロス・サンタナ
$0 Vol.
41%
ゴレット・ビトゥ
$0 Vol.
41%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Pernambuco Senate race for one of two seats remains highly competitive for second place, with trader consensus reflecting a fragmented field of over a dozen registered candidates following August party conventions. Recent April–August polling from firms like Quaest, Datafolha, and Real Time Big Data shows Marília Arraes (PDT) consistently leading with 18–28% support, while a tight battle persists among Humberto Costa (PT), Mendonça Filho (PL), Eduardo da Fonte (PP), Túlio Gadêlha (PSD), and others for the remaining position. Key factors sustaining the deadlock include Pernambuco’s polarized electorate, shifting party alliances, and the absence of decisive momentum shifts in the final stretch before the October 4 first-round vote. Late campaign events, turnout patterns among key voting blocs, or endorsements could still reorder the standings for second.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Pernambuco Senate race for one of two seats remains highly competitive for second place, with trader consensus reflecting a fragmented field of over a dozen registered candidates following August party conventions. Recent April–August polling from firms like Quaest, Datafolha, and Real Time Big Data shows Marília Arraes (PDT) consistently leading with 18–28% support, while a tight battle persists among Humberto Costa (PT), Mendonça Filho (PL), Eduardo da Fonte (PP), Túlio Gadêlha (PSD), and others for the remaining position. Key factors sustaining the deadlock include Pernambuco’s polarized electorate, shifting party alliances, and the absence of decisive momentum shifts in the final stretch before the October 4 first-round vote. Late campaign events, turnout patterns among key voting blocs, or endorsements could still reorder the standings for second.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$0終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Pernambuco Senate race for one of two seats remains highly competitive for second place, with trader consensus reflecting a fragmented field of over a dozen registered candidates following August party conventions. Recent April–August polling from firms like Quaest, Datafolha, and Real Time Big Data shows Marília Arraes (PDT) consistently leading with 18–28% support, while a tight battle persists among Humberto Costa (PT), Mendonça Filho (PL), Eduardo da Fonte (PP), Túlio Gadêlha (PSD), and others for the remaining position. Key factors sustaining the deadlock include Pernambuco’s polarized electorate, shifting party alliances, and the absence of decisive momentum shifts in the final stretch before the October 4 first-round vote. Late campaign events, turnout patterns among key voting blocs, or endorsements could still reorder the standings for second.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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