Recent polling from July shows Benedita da Silva (PT) maintaining a clear lead for one of Rio de Janeiro’s two Senate seats, while the contest for second place remains fragmented among Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos), Carlos Portinho (PL), Márcio Canella (União), Pedro Paulo (PSD), and several others, each polling in the low single digits amid 59-61% undecided or blank responses. With roughly seven weeks until the October vote and limited new surveys since late July, traders see no candidate pulling ahead decisively. High voter indecision, the absence of a unifying right-leaning alternative, and potential late shifts from endorsements or campaign events continue to keep implied probabilities for second place tightly clustered.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日カルロス・ポルチーニョ 39%
ヴィニシウス・ベネヴィデス 36%
ワギーニョ 34%
ルイス・エウジェニオ 33%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
カルロス・ポルチーニョ
39%
ヴィニシウス・ベネヴィデス
36%
ワギーニョ
34%
ルイス・エウジェニオ
33%
ミシェリー・ザビエル
33%
モニカ・ベニシオ
32%
パウラ・ファルカン
21%
アンドレ・モンテイロ
20%
マルコス・ディアス
20%
マルセロ・クリヴェラ
19%
ルチアーノ・マットス
19%
エリオ・セッコ
18%
オー・クレメンテ
18%
カルロス・ジョルジ
18%
ペドロ・パウロ
21%
ベネジタ・ダ・シルバ
24%
カルロス・ポルチーニョ 39%
ヴィニシウス・ベネヴィデス 36%
ワギーニョ 34%
ルイス・エウジェニオ 33%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
カルロス・ポルチーニョ
$41 Vol.
39%
ヴィニシウス・ベネヴィデス
$41 Vol.
36%
ワギーニョ
$41 Vol.
34%
ルイス・エウジェニオ
$80 Vol.
33%
ミシェリー・ザビエル
$78 Vol.
33%
モニカ・ベニシオ
$41 Vol.
32%
パウラ・ファルカン
$41 Vol.
21%
アンドレ・モンテイロ
$41 Vol.
20%
マルコス・ディアス
$41 Vol.
20%
マルセロ・クリヴェラ
$41 Vol.
19%
ルチアーノ・マットス
$41 Vol.
19%
エリオ・セッコ
$41 Vol.
18%
オー・クレメンテ
$41 Vol.
18%
カルロス・ジョルジ
$41 Vol.
18%
ペドロ・パウロ
$41 Vol.
21%
ベネジタ・ダ・シルバ
$61 Vol.
24%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from July shows Benedita da Silva (PT) maintaining a clear lead for one of Rio de Janeiro’s two Senate seats, while the contest for second place remains fragmented among Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos), Carlos Portinho (PL), Márcio Canella (União), Pedro Paulo (PSD), and several others, each polling in the low single digits amid 59-61% undecided or blank responses. With roughly seven weeks until the October vote and limited new surveys since late July, traders see no candidate pulling ahead decisively. High voter indecision, the absence of a unifying right-leaning alternative, and potential late shifts from endorsements or campaign events continue to keep implied probabilities for second place tightly clustered.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
音量
$752終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from July shows Benedita da Silva (PT) maintaining a clear lead for one of Rio de Janeiro’s two Senate seats, while the contest for second place remains fragmented among Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos), Carlos Portinho (PL), Márcio Canella (União), Pedro Paulo (PSD), and several others, each polling in the low single digits amid 59-61% undecided or blank responses. With roughly seven weeks until the October vote and limited new surveys since late July, traders see no candidate pulling ahead decisively. High voter indecision, the absence of a unifying right-leaning alternative, and potential late shifts from endorsements or campaign events continue to keep implied probabilities for second place tightly clustered.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$752終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from July shows Benedita da Silva (PT) maintaining a clear lead for one of Rio de Janeiro’s two Senate seats, while the contest for second place remains fragmented among Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos), Carlos Portinho (PL), Márcio Canella (União), Pedro Paulo (PSD), and several others, each polling in the low single digits amid 59-61% undecided or blank responses. With roughly seven weeks until the October vote and limited new surveys since late July, traders see no candidate pulling ahead decisively. High voter indecision, the absence of a unifying right-leaning alternative, and potential late shifts from endorsements or campaign events continue to keep implied probabilities for second place tightly clustered.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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