**Roraima’s Senate contest features 13 registered candidates vying for two seats in the October 2026 election, with candidacies officially confirmed just days ago after the August 15 deadline.** Incumbent Chico Rodrigues (PSB) holds the narrowest edge among listed contenders, followed closely by Regina Tio Ivo and a crowded field that includes Mario Rocha, Hilton Xavier, and others. The fragmented lineup, absence of consolidated polling, and lack of dominant coalitions or major endorsements have kept implied probabilities tightly grouped near the top, reflecting trader assessment of high uncertainty in a multi-candidate race. Upcoming party conventions, alliance negotiations, and the first wave of state-level surveys could widen gaps by clarifying voter preferences and coalition strength before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Regina Tio Ivo 42%
Hilton Xavier 38%
Rogério Miranda 38%
Helio Bolsonaro 37%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
Regina Tio Ivo
42%
Hilton Xavier
38%
Rogério Miranda
38%
Helio Bolsonaro
37%
Mario Rocha
35%
Márcio Junqueira
34%
Teresa Surita
32%
Helena da Asatur
29%
Nicoletti
27%
Hiperion de Oliveira
32%
Pastor Isamar
20%
Bartô Macuxi
7%
Chico Rodrigues
43%
Regina Tio Ivo 42%
Hilton Xavier 38%
Rogério Miranda 38%
Helio Bolsonaro 37%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
Regina Tio Ivo
$57 Vol.
42%
Hilton Xavier
$57 Vol.
38%
Rogério Miranda
$57 Vol.
38%
Helio Bolsonaro
$57 Vol.
37%
Mario Rocha
$57 Vol.
35%
Márcio Junqueira
$57 Vol.
34%
Teresa Surita
$57 Vol.
32%
Helena da Asatur
$57 Vol.
29%
Nicoletti
$57 Vol.
27%
Hiperion de Oliveira
$73 Vol.
32%
Pastor Isamar
$57 Vol.
20%
Bartô Macuxi
$57 Vol.
7%
Chico Rodrigues
$73 Vol.
43%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Roraima’s Senate contest features 13 registered candidates vying for two seats in the October 2026 election, with candidacies officially confirmed just days ago after the August 15 deadline.** Incumbent Chico Rodrigues (PSB) holds the narrowest edge among listed contenders, followed closely by Regina Tio Ivo and a crowded field that includes Mario Rocha, Hilton Xavier, and others. The fragmented lineup, absence of consolidated polling, and lack of dominant coalitions or major endorsements have kept implied probabilities tightly grouped near the top, reflecting trader assessment of high uncertainty in a multi-candidate race. Upcoming party conventions, alliance negotiations, and the first wave of state-level surveys could widen gaps by clarifying voter preferences and coalition strength before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ET
音量
$769終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Roraima’s Senate contest features 13 registered candidates vying for two seats in the October 2026 election, with candidacies officially confirmed just days ago after the August 15 deadline.** Incumbent Chico Rodrigues (PSB) holds the narrowest edge among listed contenders, followed closely by Regina Tio Ivo and a crowded field that includes Mario Rocha, Hilton Xavier, and others. The fragmented lineup, absence of consolidated polling, and lack of dominant coalitions or major endorsements have kept implied probabilities tightly grouped near the top, reflecting trader assessment of high uncertainty in a multi-candidate race. Upcoming party conventions, alliance negotiations, and the first wave of state-level surveys could widen gaps by clarifying voter preferences and coalition strength before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$769終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Roraima’s Senate contest features 13 registered candidates vying for two seats in the October 2026 election, with candidacies officially confirmed just days ago after the August 15 deadline.** Incumbent Chico Rodrigues (PSB) holds the narrowest edge among listed contenders, followed closely by Regina Tio Ivo and a crowded field that includes Mario Rocha, Hilton Xavier, and others. The fragmented lineup, absence of consolidated polling, and lack of dominant coalitions or major endorsements have kept implied probabilities tightly grouped near the top, reflecting trader assessment of high uncertainty in a multi-candidate race. Upcoming party conventions, alliance negotiations, and the first wave of state-level surveys could widen gaps by clarifying voter preferences and coalition strength before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問