The crowded field of over a dozen registered candidates for Roraima’s single Senate seat in 2026 has kept second-place probabilities tightly clustered, reflecting trader views of a fragmented contest with no dominant challenger yet emerging. Recent party conventions and the August 15 candidacy registration deadline formalized bids from figures including Mario Rocha (PSOL), Teresa Surita (MDB), Chico Rodrigues (PSB), and others, adding volatility without clear polling updates since earlier surveys showed Denarium and Surita ahead. Historical patterns of state-level races with multiple viable contenders, combined with shifting alliances and limited recent survey data, sustain uncertainty around who consolidates opposition support behind any frontrunner. Upcoming campaign events or coalition announcements could quickly separate contenders by clarifying vote consolidation ahead of the October election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Pastor Isamar 47%
Teresa Surita 47%
Regina Tio Ivo 46%
Rogério Miranda 44%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
Pastor Isamar
47%
Teresa Surita
47%
Regina Tio Ivo
46%
Rogério Miranda
44%
Helio Bolsonaro
43%
Hilton Xavier
43%
Nicoletti
43%
Chico Rodrigues
42%
Bartô Macuxi
39%
Márcio Junqueira
39%
Helena da Asatur
38%
Mario Rocha
27%
Hiperion de Oliveira
22%
Pastor Isamar 47%
Teresa Surita 47%
Regina Tio Ivo 46%
Rogério Miranda 44%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
Pastor Isamar
$0 Vol.
47%
Teresa Surita
$0 Vol.
47%
Regina Tio Ivo
$0 Vol.
46%
Rogério Miranda
$0 Vol.
44%
Helio Bolsonaro
$0 Vol.
43%
Hilton Xavier
$0 Vol.
43%
Nicoletti
$0 Vol.
43%
Chico Rodrigues
$0 Vol.
42%
Bartô Macuxi
$0 Vol.
39%
Márcio Junqueira
$0 Vol.
39%
Helena da Asatur
$0 Vol.
38%
Mario Rocha
$0 Vol.
27%
Hiperion de Oliveira
$0 Vol.
22%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The crowded field of over a dozen registered candidates for Roraima’s single Senate seat in 2026 has kept second-place probabilities tightly clustered, reflecting trader views of a fragmented contest with no dominant challenger yet emerging. Recent party conventions and the August 15 candidacy registration deadline formalized bids from figures including Mario Rocha (PSOL), Teresa Surita (MDB), Chico Rodrigues (PSB), and others, adding volatility without clear polling updates since earlier surveys showed Denarium and Surita ahead. Historical patterns of state-level races with multiple viable contenders, combined with shifting alliances and limited recent survey data, sustain uncertainty around who consolidates opposition support behind any frontrunner. Upcoming campaign events or coalition announcements could quickly separate contenders by clarifying vote consolidation ahead of the October election.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The crowded field of over a dozen registered candidates for Roraima’s single Senate seat in 2026 has kept second-place probabilities tightly clustered, reflecting trader views of a fragmented contest with no dominant challenger yet emerging. Recent party conventions and the August 15 candidacy registration deadline formalized bids from figures including Mario Rocha (PSOL), Teresa Surita (MDB), Chico Rodrigues (PSB), and others, adding volatility without clear polling updates since earlier surveys showed Denarium and Surita ahead. Historical patterns of state-level races with multiple viable contenders, combined with shifting alliances and limited recent survey data, sustain uncertainty around who consolidates opposition support behind any frontrunner. Upcoming campaign events or coalition announcements could quickly separate contenders by clarifying vote consolidation ahead of the October election.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$0終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The crowded field of over a dozen registered candidates for Roraima’s single Senate seat in 2026 has kept second-place probabilities tightly clustered, reflecting trader views of a fragmented contest with no dominant challenger yet emerging. Recent party conventions and the August 15 candidacy registration deadline formalized bids from figures including Mario Rocha (PSOL), Teresa Surita (MDB), Chico Rodrigues (PSB), and others, adding volatility without clear polling updates since earlier surveys showed Denarium and Surita ahead. Historical patterns of state-level races with multiple viable contenders, combined with shifting alliances and limited recent survey data, sustain uncertainty around who consolidates opposition support behind any frontrunner. Upcoming campaign events or coalition announcements could quickly separate contenders by clarifying vote consolidation ahead of the October election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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