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icon for サンパウロ上院選挙: 1位

サンパウロ上院選挙: 1位

icon for サンパウロ上院選挙: 1位

サンパウロ上院選挙: 1位

Simone Tebet 36%

Soninha Francine 28%

Marina Silva 26%

André do Prado 22%

Polymarket
新規

Simone Tebet 36%

Soninha Francine 28%

Marina Silva 26%

André do Prado 22%

Polymarket
新規
icon for Simone Tebet

Simone Tebet

$40 Vol.

21%

icon for Soninha Francine

Soninha Francine

$20 Vol.

28%

icon for Marina Silva

Marina Silva

$20 Vol.

26%

icon for André do Prado

André do Prado

$20 Vol.

22%

icon for Maíra de Souza

Maíra de Souza

$20 Vol.

21%

icon for Dra. Eliana Ferreira

Dra. Eliana Ferreira

$59 Vol.

21%

icon for Geraldo Rufino

Geraldo Rufino

$20 Vol.

21%

icon for Guilherme Derrite

Guilherme Derrite

$40 Vol.

28%

icon for Weller Gonçalves

Weller Gonçalves

$58 Vol.

21%

icon for Salles

Salles

$20 Vol.

12%

icon for William Teixeira

William Teixeira

$40 Vol.

8%

icon for Marcio Alves

Marcio Alves

$40 Vol.

8%

icon for Petter Maahs

Petter Maahs

$42 Vol.

8%

icon for Ednelson Cesaretti

Ednelson Cesaretti

$49 Vol.

7%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls for São Paulo’s two Federal Senate seats show a fragmented field ahead of the October 4 vote, with Marina Silva and Simone Tebet holding narrow leads in voting intention surveys while Guilherme Derrite, André do Prado, and Ricardo Salles remain within striking distance. Multiple candidates from different parties, including PL, PP, and smaller groupings, continue to split preferences in a state with high undecided and null vote shares. This dispersion, combined with limited major campaign developments or endorsements in recent weeks, sustains trader consensus that no single contender has secured a decisive edge. Shifts could emerge from further polling consolidation, party alliances, or late visibility gains by mid-tier names before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$487
終了日
2026/10/04
マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls for São Paulo’s two Federal Senate seats show a fragmented field ahead of the October 4 vote, with Marina Silva and Simone Tebet holding narrow leads in voting intention surveys while Guilherme Derrite, André do Prado, and Ricardo Salles remain within striking distance. Multiple candidates from different parties, including PL, PP, and smaller groupings, continue to split preferences in a state with high undecided and null vote shares. This dispersion, combined with limited major campaign developments or endorsements in recent weeks, sustains trader consensus that no single contender has secured a decisive edge. Shifts could emerge from further polling consolidation, party alliances, or late visibility gains by mid-tier names before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$487
終了日
2026/10/04
マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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よくある質問

「サンパウロ上院選挙: 1位」はPolymarket上の14個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Soninha Francine」で28%、次いで「Guilherme Derrite」が28%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、28¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に28%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「サンパウロ上院選挙: 1位」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Aug 17, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「サンパウロ上院選挙: 1位」で取引するには、このページに記載されている14個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「サンパウロ上院選挙: 1位」の現在のフロントランナーは「Soninha Francine」で28%であり、市場がこの結果に28%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Guilherme Derrite」で28%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「サンパウロ上院選挙: 1位」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。