Recent inflation readings, including May CPI at 3.8% and core PCE near 3.3%, have elevated Treasury yields and tempered expectations for near-term Fed easing, with the FOMC's June meeting under new Chair Kevin Warsh likely to hold the funds rate at 3.50-3.75%. The S&P 500, trading near 7,420-7,500 amid volatility from Middle East-driven oil spikes, has seen mixed momentum after May's 5%+ advance fueled by AI-related earnings. Traders are pricing limited upside into month-end given the short window to June 30 and risks from sticky price pressures or geopolitical flare-ups, while strong corporate fundamentals provide some support. Key upcoming releases include any final June data and the Fed statement itself.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$601,827 Vol.
2026/06/30
↑ 8,000ドル
いいえ
↑ $7,850
No
↑ 7,700ドル
いいえ
↑ 7,600ドル
はい
↑ 7,450ドル
はい
↑ 7,300ドル
はい
↑ 7,150ドル
はい
↑ 7,050ドル
はい
↓ 6,700ドル
はい
↓ 6,600ドル
はい
↓ 6,500ドル
はい
↓ 7,100ドル
いいえ
↓ $6,900
No
↓ $6,700
No
↓ $6,500
No
↓ 6,300ドル
いいえ
↓ 6,000ドル
いいえ
$601,827 Vol.
↑ 8,000ドル
$52,465 Vol.
いいえ
↑ $7,850
$31,666 Vol.
No
↑ 7,700ドル
$55,823 Vol.
いいえ
↑ 7,600ドル
$8,999 Vol.
はい
↑ 7,450ドル
$20,166 Vol.
はい
↑ 7,300ドル
$22,254 Vol.
はい
↑ 7,150ドル
$20,175 Vol.
はい
↑ 7,050ドル
$16,558 Vol.
はい
↓ 6,700ドル
$0 Vol.
はい
↓ 6,600ドル
$0 Vol.
はい
↓ 6,500ドル
$1,508 Vol.
はい
↓ 7,100ドル
$24,781 Vol.
いいえ
↓ $6,900
$36,385 Vol.
No
↓ $6,700
$27,030 Vol.
No
↓ $6,500
$22,464 Vol.
No
↓ 6,300ドル
$129,935 Vol.
いいえ
↓ 6,000ドル
$131,619 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for June 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for June 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Recent inflation readings, including May CPI at 3.8% and core PCE near 3.3%, have elevated Treasury yields and tempered expectations for near-term Fed easing, with the FOMC's June meeting under new Chair Kevin Warsh likely to hold the funds rate at 3.50-3.75%. The S&P 500, trading near 7,420-7,500 amid volatility from Middle East-driven oil spikes, has seen mixed momentum after May's 5%+ advance fueled by AI-related earnings. Traders are pricing limited upside into month-end given the short window to June 30 and risks from sticky price pressures or geopolitical flare-ups, while strong corporate fundamentals provide some support. Key upcoming releases include any final June data and the Fed statement itself.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for June 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
マーケット開始日： Jan 6, 2026, 9:32 PM ET
音量
$601,827終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Jan 6, 2026, 9:32 PM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for June 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for June 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Recent inflation readings, including May CPI at 3.8% and core PCE near 3.3%, have elevated Treasury yields and tempered expectations for near-term Fed easing, with the FOMC's June meeting under new Chair Kevin Warsh likely to hold the funds rate at 3.50-3.75%. The S&P 500, trading near 7,420-7,500 amid volatility from Middle East-driven oil spikes, has seen mixed momentum after May's 5%+ advance fueled by AI-related earnings. Traders are pricing limited upside into month-end given the short window to June 30 and risks from sticky price pressures or geopolitical flare-ups, while strong corporate fundamentals provide some support. Key upcoming releases include any final June data and the Fed statement itself.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for June 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
音量
$601,827終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Jan 6, 2026, 9:32 PM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Recent inflation readings, including May CPI at 3.8% and core PCE near 3.3%, have elevated Treasury yields and tempered expectations for near-term Fed easing, with the FOMC's June meeting under new Chair Kevin Warsh likely to hold the funds rate at 3.50-3.75%. The S&P 500, trading near 7,420-7,500 amid volatility from Middle East-driven oil spikes, has seen mixed momentum after May's 5%+ advance fueled by AI-related earnings. Traders are pricing limited upside into month-end given the short window to June 30 and risks from sticky price pressures or geopolitical flare-ups, while strong corporate fundamentals provide some support. Key upcoming releases include any final June data and the Fed statement itself.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問