Following its explosive five-day domestic debut of $190.1 million—the biggest opening of 2026—"The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" posted record-breaking Monday ($16.8 million) and Tuesday ($14.8 million) holds, pushing the cumulative gross past $222 million amid strong family audience turnout and global momentum topping $372 million. However, trader consensus tilts toward a 70-80 million second weekend (45.5% implied probability) over under 70 million (36.5%), reflecting front-loaded dynamics akin to the 2023 "Super Mario Bros. Movie"'s 64% drop from $146 million to $52 million. Projections from Deadline peg 60-70 million as likely, with key swing factors including midweek streaming buzz, competition from "Project Hail Mary," and Friday tracking updates ahead of the April 11-13 frame determining if word-of-mouth sustains or legs falter.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日「スーパーマリオギャラクシー映画」第2週末興行収入
「スーパーマリオギャラクシー映画」第2週末興行収入
7000万〜8000万ドル 45%
<7000万 41%
8,000万〜9,000万ドル 19%
9,000万ドル超 3.0%
$10,588 Vol.
$10,588 Vol.
2026/04/13
<7000万
36%
7000万〜8000万ドル
45%
8,000万〜9,000万ドル
19%
9,000万ドル超
3%
7000万〜8000万ドル 45%
<7000万 41%
8,000万〜9,000万ドル 19%
9,000万ドル超 3.0%
$10,588 Vol.
$10,588 Vol.
2026/04/13
<7000万
$3,654 Vol.
36%
7000万〜8000万ドル
$3,262 Vol.
45%
8,000万〜9,000万ドル
$1,619 Vol.
19%
9,000万ドル超
$2,053 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (April 10 - April 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Following its explosive five-day domestic debut of $190.1 million—the biggest opening of 2026—"The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" posted record-breaking Monday ($16.8 million) and Tuesday ($14.8 million) holds, pushing the cumulative gross past $222 million amid strong family audience turnout and global momentum topping $372 million. However, trader consensus tilts toward a 70-80 million second weekend (45.5% implied probability) over under 70 million (36.5%), reflecting front-loaded dynamics akin to the 2023 "Super Mario Bros. Movie"'s 64% drop from $146 million to $52 million. Projections from Deadline peg 60-70 million as likely, with key swing factors including midweek streaming buzz, competition from "Project Hail Mary," and Friday tracking updates ahead of the April 11-13 frame determining if word-of-mouth sustains or legs falter.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (April 10 - April 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
マーケット開始日： Apr 6, 2026, 5:58 PM ET
音量
$10,588終了日
2026/04/13マーケット開始日
Apr 6, 2026, 5:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (April 10 - April 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Following its explosive five-day domestic debut of $190.1 million—the biggest opening of 2026—"The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" posted record-breaking Monday ($16.8 million) and Tuesday ($14.8 million) holds, pushing the cumulative gross past $222 million amid strong family audience turnout and global momentum topping $372 million. However, trader consensus tilts toward a 70-80 million second weekend (45.5% implied probability) over under 70 million (36.5%), reflecting front-loaded dynamics akin to the 2023 "Super Mario Bros. Movie"'s 64% drop from $146 million to $52 million. Projections from Deadline peg 60-70 million as likely, with key swing factors including midweek streaming buzz, competition from "Project Hail Mary," and Friday tracking updates ahead of the April 11-13 frame determining if word-of-mouth sustains or legs falter.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (April 10 - April 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
音量
$10,588終了日
2026/04/13マーケット開始日
Apr 6, 2026, 5:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Following its explosive five-day domestic debut of $190.1 million—the biggest opening of 2026—"The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" posted record-breaking Monday ($16.8 million) and Tuesday ($14.8 million) holds, pushing the cumulative gross past $222 million amid strong family audience turnout and global momentum topping $372 million. However, trader consensus tilts toward a 70-80 million second weekend (45.5% implied probability) over under 70 million (36.5%), reflecting front-loaded dynamics akin to the 2023 "Super Mario Bros. Movie"'s 64% drop from $146 million to $52 million. Projections from Deadline peg 60-70 million as likely, with key swing factors including midweek streaming buzz, competition from "Project Hail Mary," and Friday tracking updates ahead of the April 11-13 frame determining if word-of-mouth sustains or legs falter.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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