Trader consensus on Polymarket favors the $8-9 million range at 39.5% implied probability for "You, Me & Tuscany's" opening weekend, reflecting downward revisions in tracking forecasts amid mixed early reviews and stiff competition. Box Office Theory's latest estimate pegs it at $8-12.5 million, a pullback from March projections of $12-18 million by Boxoffice Pro, as tepid critic takes from Variety ("sunny but tepid") and Hollywood Reporter ("predictable but charming") dampen walkup potential for the Universal rom-com starring Halle Bailey and Regé-Jean Page. Directed by Kat Coiro, it echoes her prior "Marry Me" ($7.9M debut), facing headwinds from the dominant "Super Mario Galaxy Movie" sophomore frame. Final presales and Thursday previews will be pivotal before screens light up April 10.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日"You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office
"You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office
8-9m 39%
9-10m 24%
10-11m 12.0%
>11m 12%
$17,215 Vol.
$17,215 Vol.
<8m
16%
8-9m
39%
9-10m
24%
10-11m
12%
>11m
12%
8-9m 39%
9-10m 24%
10-11m 12.0%
>11m 12%
$17,215 Vol.
$17,215 Vol.
<8m
16%
8-9m
39%
9-10m
24%
10-11m
12%
>11m
12%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
マーケット開始日: Apr 6, 2026, 5:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors the $8-9 million range at 39.5% implied probability for "You, Me & Tuscany's" opening weekend, reflecting downward revisions in tracking forecasts amid mixed early reviews and stiff competition. Box Office Theory's latest estimate pegs it at $8-12.5 million, a pullback from March projections of $12-18 million by Boxoffice Pro, as tepid critic takes from Variety ("sunny but tepid") and Hollywood Reporter ("predictable but charming") dampen walkup potential for the Universal rom-com starring Halle Bailey and Regé-Jean Page. Directed by Kat Coiro, it echoes her prior "Marry Me" ($7.9M debut), facing headwinds from the dominant "Super Mario Galaxy Movie" sophomore frame. Final presales and Thursday previews will be pivotal before screens light up April 10.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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