Trader consensus pins the 65-89 tweet range at 43.5% implied probability for Elon Musk's X activity from April 9-11, aligning with his recent surge of around 30 posts daily—199 total from April 3-10 per trackers, and the prior April 6-8 window resolving squarely in 65-89. This momentum reflects sustained engagement on viral topics like xAI's Colossus supercluster training massive models up to 10T parameters, Boring Company Hyperloop pitches against high-speed rail waste, and SpaceX Starship hype, without dips below 20 daily in the past week. The 40-64 bucket at 24.5% captures quieter scenarios, but no major events loom to suppress volume; sudden Tesla or launch news could propel odds toward 90+. Markets highlight X's cultural pulse through real-money skin in the game.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日65〜89 44%
40～64 25%
90～114 22%
115〜139 5%
$252,195 Vol.
$252,195 Vol.
2026/04/11
40未満
2%
40～64
25%
65〜89
44%
90～114
22%
115〜139
5%
140～164
1%
165〜189
1%
190～214
<1%
215〜239
<1%
240以上
<1%
65〜89 44%
40～64 25%
90～114 22%
115〜139 5%
$252,195 Vol.
$252,195 Vol.
2026/04/11
40未満
$31,085 Vol.
2%
40～64
$15,069 Vol.
25%
65〜89
$15,401 Vol.
44%
90～114
$11,423 Vol.
22%
115〜139
$11,361 Vol.
5%
140～164
$26,661 Vol.
1%
165〜189
$19,785 Vol.
1%
190～214
$36,125 Vol.
<1%
215〜239
$37,145 Vol.
<1%
240以上
$48,772 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 9 12:00 PM ET to April 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus pins the 65-89 tweet range at 43.5% implied probability for Elon Musk's X activity from April 9-11, aligning with his recent surge of around 30 posts daily—199 total from April 3-10 per trackers, and the prior April 6-8 window resolving squarely in 65-89. This momentum reflects sustained engagement on viral topics like xAI's Colossus supercluster training massive models up to 10T parameters, Boring Company Hyperloop pitches against high-speed rail waste, and SpaceX Starship hype, without dips below 20 daily in the past week. The 40-64 bucket at 24.5% captures quieter scenarios, but no major events loom to suppress volume; sudden Tesla or launch news could propel odds toward 90+. Markets highlight X's cultural pulse through real-money skin in the game.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 9 12:00 PM ET to April 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日： Apr 6, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
音量
$252,195終了日
2026/04/11マーケット開始日
Apr 6, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 9 12:00 PM ET to April 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus pins the 65-89 tweet range at 43.5% implied probability for Elon Musk's X activity from April 9-11, aligning with his recent surge of around 30 posts daily—199 total from April 3-10 per trackers, and the prior April 6-8 window resolving squarely in 65-89. This momentum reflects sustained engagement on viral topics like xAI's Colossus supercluster training massive models up to 10T parameters, Boring Company Hyperloop pitches against high-speed rail waste, and SpaceX Starship hype, without dips below 20 daily in the past week. The 40-64 bucket at 24.5% captures quieter scenarios, but no major events loom to suppress volume; sudden Tesla or launch news could propel odds toward 90+. Markets highlight X's cultural pulse through real-money skin in the game.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 9 12:00 PM ET to April 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$252,195終了日
2026/04/11マーケット開始日
Apr 6, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus pins the 65-89 tweet range at 43.5% implied probability for Elon Musk's X activity from April 9-11, aligning with his recent surge of around 30 posts daily—199 total from April 3-10 per trackers, and the prior April 6-8 window resolving squarely in 65-89. This momentum reflects sustained engagement on viral topics like xAI's Colossus supercluster training massive models up to 10T parameters, Boring Company Hyperloop pitches against high-speed rail waste, and SpaceX Starship hype, without dips below 20 daily in the past week. The 40-64 bucket at 24.5% captures quieter scenarios, but no major events loom to suppress volume; sudden Tesla or launch news could propel odds toward 90+. Markets highlight X's cultural pulse through real-money skin in the game.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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