Trader consensus on Polymarket's market for Elon Musk's X posts from April 3-10 clusters tightly around 220-319 tweets (implied probabilities 9.5-13%), reflecting his consistent recent pace of 30-40 posts per day across prior 8-day windows like March 27-April 3, where similar ranges led at 220-259. This closely matched field underscores daily variance driven by viral cultural moments—such as Tesla announcements, SpaceX updates, or political commentary—that can spike output, versus quieter periods amid platform management. No major shifts in the last 48 hours or past 30 days have disrupted his high-engagement rhythm as X's most-followed figure, but upcoming catalysts like earnings calls or controversies could push toward 300+; traders weigh historical stability against unpredictable online discourse surges.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日240〜259 13%
260～279 13%
220〜239 12%
280～299 12%
$301,317 Vol.
$301,317 Vol.
＜20
<1%
20～39
<1%
40〜59
<1%
60〜79
<1%
80〜99
<1%
100〜119
<1%
120～139
1%
140～159
1%
160〜179
2%
180〜199
3%
200〜219
9%
220〜239
12%
240〜259
13%
260～279
13%
280～299
12%
300〜319
10%
320〜339
8%
340〜359
7%
360〜379
6%
380～399
4%
400～419
2%
420～439
2%
440〜459
1%
460〜479
1%
480〜499
<1%
500〜519
<1%
520〜539
<1%
540〜559
<1%
560～579
<1%
580以上
<1%
240〜259 13%
260～279 13%
220〜239 12%
280～299 12%
$301,317 Vol.
$301,317 Vol.
＜20
<1%
20～39
<1%
40〜59
<1%
60〜79
<1%
80〜99
<1%
100〜119
<1%
120～139
1%
140～159
1%
160〜179
2%
180〜199
3%
200〜219
9%
220〜239
12%
240〜259
13%
260～279
13%
280～299
12%
300〜319
10%
320〜339
8%
340〜359
7%
360〜379
6%
380～399
4%
400～419
2%
420～439
2%
440〜459
1%
460〜479
1%
480〜499
<1%
500〜519
<1%
520〜539
<1%
540〜559
<1%
560～579
<1%
580以上
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日： Mar 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket's market for Elon Musk's X posts from April 3-10 clusters tightly around 220-319 tweets (implied probabilities 9.5-13%), reflecting his consistent recent pace of 30-40 posts per day across prior 8-day windows like March 27-April 3, where similar ranges led at 220-259. This closely matched field underscores daily variance driven by viral cultural moments—such as Tesla announcements, SpaceX updates, or political commentary—that can spike output, versus quieter periods amid platform management. No major shifts in the last 48 hours or past 30 days have disrupted his high-engagement rhythm as X's most-followed figure, but upcoming catalysts like earnings calls or controversies could push toward 300+; traders weigh historical stability against unpredictable online discourse surges.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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