Market icon
政治·文化

イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年3月31日～ 4月7日？

Market icon
政治·文化

イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年3月31日～ 4月7日？

Mar 31

Apr 3

Apr 7

Mar 31

Apr 3

Apr 7

260〜279 12%

280〜299 12%

300〜319 12%

320〜339 11%

Polymarket
NEW

$137,101 Vol.

260〜279 12%

280〜299 12%

300〜319 12%

320〜339 11%

Polymarket
NEW

$137,101 Vol.

20未満

$16,497 Vol.

<1%

20～39

$13,588 Vol.

<1%

40〜59

$16,553 Vol.

<1%

60～79

$16,559 Vol.

<1%

80〜99

$15,291 Vol.

<1%

100～119

$2,822 Vol.

<1%

120〜139

$4,153 Vol.

<1%

140〜159

$805 Vol.

<1%

160〜179

$1,693 Vol.

1%

180～199

$1,489 Vol.

3%

200～219

$1,356 Vol.

6%

220〜239

$2,202 Vol.

7%

240〜259

$1,526 Vol.

10%

260〜279

$1,690 Vol.

12%

280〜299

$2,065 Vol.

12%

300〜319

$1,041 Vol.

12%

320〜339

$1,332 Vol.

11%

340〜359

$678 Vol.

9%

360～379

$1,347 Vol.

8%

380〜399

$1,308 Vol.

5%

400〜419

$1,485 Vol.

4%

420〜439

$1,354 Vol.

3%

440～459

$2,132 Vol.

2%

460～479

$2,498 Vol.

1%

480〜499

$1,794 Vol.

1%

500〜519

$1,784 Vol.

<1%

520～539

$1,758 Vol.

<1%

540～559

$6,306 Vol.

<1%

560～579

$7,278 Vol.

<1%

580以上

$6,752 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 31 12:00 PM ET to April 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's posts on X from March 31 to April 7 at around 260-319 (each bin at 11.5% implied probability), reflecting his established weekly cadence of 300-360 totals in recent periods like 364 for March 20-27 and 339 for March 17-24, averaging 34-45 per day amid steady engagement on politics, Tesla updates, and SpaceX teases. With top bins tightly matched, competitive dynamics hinge on daily fluctuations—weekends often see dips below 30 posts, while news catalysts like earnings calls or viral controversies could push toward 320+. No confirmed events in the last 48 hours alter this pattern, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in tracking his unpredictable yet high-volume social media presence.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's posts on X from March 31 to April 7 at around 260-319 (each bin at 11.5% implied probability), reflecting his established weekly cadence of 300-360 totals in recent periods like 364 for March 20-27 and 339 for March 17-24, averaging 34-45 per day amid steady engagement on politics, Tesla updates, and SpaceX teases. With top bins tightly matched, competitive dynamics hinge on daily fluctuations—weekends often see dips below 30 posts, while news catalysts like earnings calls or viral controversies could push toward 320+. No confirmed events in the last 48 hours alter this pattern, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in tracking his unpredictable yet high-volume social media presence.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 31 12:00 PM ET to April 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's posts on X from March 31 to April 7 at around 260-319 (each bin at 11.5% implied probability), reflecting his established weekly cadence of 300-360 totals in recent periods like 364 for March 20-27 and 339 for March 17-24, averaging 34-45 per day amid steady engagement on politics, Tesla updates, and SpaceX teases. With top bins tightly matched, competitive dynamics hinge on daily fluctuations—weekends often see dips below 30 posts, while news catalysts like earnings calls or viral controversies could push toward 320+. No confirmed events in the last 48 hours alter this pattern, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in tracking his unpredictable yet high-volume social media presence.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's posts on X from March 31 to April 7 at around 260-319 (each bin at 11.5% implied probability), reflecting his established weekly cadence of 300-360 totals in recent periods like 364 for March 20-27 and 339 for March 17-24, averaging 34-45 per day amid steady engagement on politics, Tesla updates, and SpaceX teases. With top bins tightly matched, competitive dynamics hinge on daily fluctuations—weekends often see dips below 30 posts, while news catalysts like earnings calls or viral controversies could push toward 320+. No confirmed events in the last 48 hours alter this pattern, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in tracking his unpredictable yet high-volume social media presence.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年3月31日～ 4月7日？」はPolymarket上の30個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「260〜279」で12%、次いで「280〜299」が12%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、12¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に12%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年3月31日～ 4月7日？」は$137.1Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Mar 28, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年3月31日～ 4月7日？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている30個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年3月31日～ 4月7日？」の現在のフロントランナーは「260〜279」で12%であり、市場がこの結果に12%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「280〜299」で12%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年3月31日～ 4月7日？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。