Market icon
政治·文化

イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年3月28日〜3月30日？

Market icon
政治·文化

イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年3月28日〜3月30日？

Mar 28

Mar 30

Mar 28

Mar 30

65～89 38%

90～114 27%

40～64 20%

115〜139 12%

Polymarket
NEW

$79,026 Vol.

65～89 38%

90～114 27%

40～64 20%

115〜139 12%

Polymarket
NEW

$79,026 Vol.

40未満

$9,965 Vol.

2%

40～64

$5,799 Vol.

20%

65～89

$4,646 Vol.

38%

90～114

$3,982 Vol.

27%

115〜139

$2,091 Vol.

12%

140〜164

$3,869 Vol.

3%

165～189

$4,669 Vol.

1%

190～214

$7,341 Vol.

1%

215〜239

$19,985 Vol.

<1%

240以上

$16,680 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 28 12:00 PM ET to March 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus favors 65-89 tweets (37.5% implied probability) and 90-114 (26.5%) for Elon Musk's X posts over March 28-30, 2026, reflecting his sustained high-volume posting patterns as X's owner and a central pop culture figure. Recent weeks show Musk averaging 20-40 posts daily, with spikes exceeding 100 during political events like the 2024 U.S. election aftermath and Tesla announcements, driving optimism for similar momentum in 2026 amid potential midterms or SpaceX milestones. Lower buckets trail due to historical floors rarely dipping below 40 over three days, even in quieter periods, though unpredictable news cycles—such as regulatory battles or viral memes—could push toward 140+ extremes. Markets anticipate steady engagement absent major platform changes.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 28 12:00 PM ET to March 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$79,026
終了日
Mar 30, 2026
マーケット開始日
Mar 26, 2026, 12:01 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 28 12:00 PM ET to March 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus favors 65-89 tweets (37.5% implied probability) and 90-114 (26.5%) for Elon Musk's X posts over March 28-30, 2026, reflecting his sustained high-volume posting patterns as X's owner and a central pop culture figure. Recent weeks show Musk averaging 20-40 posts daily, with spikes exceeding 100 during political events like the 2024 U.S. election aftermath and Tesla announcements, driving optimism for similar momentum in 2026 amid potential midterms or SpaceX milestones. Lower buckets trail due to historical floors rarely dipping below 40 over three days, even in quieter periods, though unpredictable news cycles—such as regulatory battles or viral memes—could push toward 140+ extremes. Markets anticipate steady engagement absent major platform changes.

Trader consensus favors 65-89 tweets (37.5% implied probability) and 90-114 (26.5%) for Elon Musk's X posts over March 28-30, 2026, reflecting his sustained high-volume posting patterns as X's owner and a central pop culture figure. Recent weeks show Musk averaging 20-40 posts daily, with spikes exceeding 100 during political events like the 2024 U.S. election aftermath and Tesla announcements, driving optimism for similar momentum in 2026 amid potential midterms or SpaceX milestones. Lower buckets trail due to historical floors rarely dipping below 40 over three days, even in quieter periods, though unpredictable news cycles—such as regulatory battles or viral memes—could push toward 140+ extremes. Markets anticipate steady engagement absent major platform changes.

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よくある質問

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年3月28日〜3月30日？」はPolymarket上の10個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「65～89」で38%、次いで「90～114」が27%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、38¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に38%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年3月28日〜3月30日？」は$79Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Mar 26, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年3月28日〜3月30日？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている10個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年3月28日〜3月30日？」の現在のフロントランナーは「65～89」で38%であり、市場がこの結果に38%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「90～114」で27%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年3月28日〜3月30日？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。