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トランプモバイルは...までに携帯電話をリリースしますか？

Market icon

トランプモバイルは...までに携帯電話をリリースしますか？

NEW
Apr 30, 2026
Polymarket

$1,395 Vol.

Polymarket

4月30日

$149 Vol.

8%

6月30日

$1,246 Vol.

24%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump Mobile officially releases a cellphone (including the T1 or any other phone model) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. Announcements, unveilings, reservations, or pre-orders alone will not qualify. Either the T1 or any other phone released under the Trump Mobile brand will qualify. A qualifying cellphone must be a handheld mobile phone; accessories or non-phone devices will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Trump Mobile. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump has not made any confirmed announcement about launching "Trump Mobile" or releasing a branded smartphone, despite his history of merchandising ventures like gold sneakers, watches, and Bibles that have capitalized on post-election fervor. Trader sentiment likely hinges on speculation around his business empire expansion into consumer tech, amid a smartphone industry dominated by Apple and Samsung where new entrants face steep barriers like supply chain hurdles and carrier partnerships. No recent developments in the past 30 days signal progress—rumors on social media remain unverified—leaving high uncertainty. Key to watch: official statements from Trump Organization or Truth Social teases, with market resolution tied to a verifiable public release by the specified date.

Trump has not made any confirmed announcement about launching "Trump Mobile" or releasing a branded smartphone, despite his history of merchandising ventures like gold sneakers, watches, and Bibles that have capitalized on post-election fervor. Trader sentiment likely hinges on speculation around his business empire expansion into consumer tech, amid a smartphone industry dominated by Apple and Samsung where new entrants face steep barriers like supply chain hurdles and carrier partnerships. No recent developments in the past 30 days signal progress—rumors on social media remain unverified—leaving high uncertainty. Key to watch: official statements from Trump Organization or Truth Social teases, with market resolution tied to a verifiable public release by the specified date.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump Mobile officially releases a cellphone (including the T1 or any other phone model) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. Announcements, unveilings, reservations, or pre-orders alone will not qualify. Either the T1 or any other phone released under the Trump Mobile brand will qualify. A qualifying cellphone must be a handheld mobile phone; accessories or non-phone devices will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Trump Mobile. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump has not made any confirmed announcement about launching "Trump Mobile" or releasing a branded smartphone, despite his history of merchandising ventures like gold sneakers, watches, and Bibles that have capitalized on post-election fervor. Trader sentiment likely hinges on speculation around his business empire expansion into consumer tech, amid a smartphone industry dominated by Apple and Samsung where new entrants face steep barriers like supply chain hurdles and carrier partnerships. No recent developments in the past 30 days signal progress—rumors on social media remain unverified—leaving high uncertainty. Key to watch: official statements from Trump Organization or Truth Social teases, with market resolution tied to a verifiable public release by the specified date.

Trump has not made any confirmed announcement about launching "Trump Mobile" or releasing a branded smartphone, despite his history of merchandising ventures like gold sneakers, watches, and Bibles that have capitalized on post-election fervor. Trader sentiment likely hinges on speculation around his business empire expansion into consumer tech, amid a smartphone industry dominated by Apple and Samsung where new entrants face steep barriers like supply chain hurdles and carrier partnerships. No recent developments in the past 30 days signal progress—rumors on social media remain unverified—leaving high uncertainty. Key to watch: official statements from Trump Organization or Truth Social teases, with market resolution tied to a verifiable public release by the specified date.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「トランプモバイルは...までに携帯電話をリリースしますか？」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「6月30日」で24%、次いで「4月30日」が8%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、24¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に24%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「トランプモバイルは...までに携帯電話をリリースしますか？」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Mar 27, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「トランプモバイルは...までに携帯電話をリリースしますか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「トランプモバイルは...までに携帯電話をリリースしますか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「6月30日」で24%であり、市場がこの結果に24%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「4月30日」で8%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「トランプモバイルは...までに携帯電話をリリースしますか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。