Trader consensus on Elon Musk's tweet volume for the specified late-March 2026 week hovers tightly around 280-339 posts, with 320-339 edging ahead at 12% implied probability, reflecting his sustained hyperactive X presence averaging 40-50 daily tweets in recent months. Driving this sentiment is Musk's consistent pattern—boosted by real-time engagements on politics, Tesla updates, and meme culture—mirroring peaks during 2024 election fervor and SpaceX milestones, per analytics trackers. Closely matched bins underscore variability from event-driven spikes, like potential 2026 regulatory news or holidays, against quieter baselines; traders eye historical volatility, where weekly tallies fluctuate 20-30% around the 300 mean, positioning mid-300s as the value anchor amid cultural chatter.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日320〜339 12%
280〜299 12%
300~319 12%
340〜359 11%
$202,730 Vol.
$202,730 Vol.
20未満
<1%
20~39
<1%
40〜59
<1%
60~79
<1%
80〜99
<1%
100〜119
<1%
120〜139
1%
140〜159
1%
160~179
1%
180~199
2%
200〜219
3%
220〜239
5%
240〜259
7%
260〜279
8%
280〜299
12%
300~319
12%
320〜339
12%
340〜359
11%
360〜379
10%
380〜399
8%
400〜419
5%
420〜439
3%
440〜459
4%
460〜479
1%
480~499
1%
500〜519
1%
520〜539
1%
540~559
1%
560~579
1%
580件以上
<1%
320〜339 12%
280〜299 12%
300~319 12%
340〜359 11%
$202,730 Vol.
$202,730 Vol.
20未満
<1%
20~39
<1%
40〜59
<1%
60~79
<1%
80〜99
<1%
100〜119
<1%
120〜139
1%
140〜159
1%
160~179
1%
180~199
2%
200〜219
3%
220〜239
5%
240〜259
7%
260〜279
8%
280〜299
12%
300~319
12%
320〜339
12%
340〜359
11%
360〜379
10%
380〜399
8%
400〜419
5%
420〜439
3%
440〜459
4%
460〜479
1%
480~499
1%
500〜519
1%
520〜539
1%
540~559
1%
560~579
1%
580件以上
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日: Mar 21, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Elon Musk's tweet volume for the specified late-March 2026 week hovers tightly around 280-339 posts, with 320-339 edging ahead at 12% implied probability, reflecting his sustained hyperactive X presence averaging 40-50 daily tweets in recent months. Driving this sentiment is Musk's consistent pattern—boosted by real-time engagements on politics, Tesla updates, and meme culture—mirroring peaks during 2024 election fervor and SpaceX milestones, per analytics trackers. Closely matched bins underscore variability from event-driven spikes, like potential 2026 regulatory news or holidays, against quieter baselines; traders eye historical volatility, where weekly tallies fluctuate 20-30% around the 300 mean, positioning mid-300s as the value anchor amid cultural chatter.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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