Trump's frequent Truth Social activity, averaging multiple posts daily on campaign themes, legal defenses, and critiques of opponents, anchors trader consensus for this week's output, with odds favoring election-related content amid intensifying 2024 primary momentum. Recent catalysts include his March 22 posts slamming Biden's policies and Georgia indictment updates, boosting "anti-Biden" and "legal battles" probabilities, while a quiet X presence tempers cross-platform bets. Traders eye potential volatility from the March 25 Michigan GOP endorsement push and hush-money case filings, alongside routine news triggers like polls or media hits, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in pricing his reactive posting patterns against historical baselines of 80% weekly engagement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日NATO
67%
Nasty
37%
Boeing
29%
Ballroom
40%
CNN Fake News / Fake News CNN
28%
Panican
36%
Free Tina Peters
37%
Peace Through Strength
67%
Epic Fury
42%
Bully of the Middle East
28%
Trump derangement / Trump deranged
38%
Excursion
29%
FBI
56%
Evil Empire
28%
Fool
44%
Ayatollah / Khamenei
48%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
39%
Democrat Shutdown
46%
Bomb / Bomber
37%
Impeach / Impeachment
31%
Terrorist
67%
Congresswoman
47%
Texas
48%
Spain
32%
$20 Vol.
NATO
67%
Nasty
37%
Boeing
29%
Ballroom
40%
CNN Fake News / Fake News CNN
28%
Panican
36%
Free Tina Peters
37%
Peace Through Strength
67%
Epic Fury
42%
Bully of the Middle East
28%
Trump derangement / Trump deranged
38%
Excursion
29%
FBI
56%
Evil Empire
28%
Fool
44%
Ayatollah / Khamenei
48%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
39%
Democrat Shutdown
46%
Bomb / Bomber
37%
Impeach / Impeachment
31%
Terrorist
67%
Congresswoman
47%
Texas
48%
Spain
32%
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
マーケット開始日: Mar 20, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's frequent Truth Social activity, averaging multiple posts daily on campaign themes, legal defenses, and critiques of opponents, anchors trader consensus for this week's output, with odds favoring election-related content amid intensifying 2024 primary momentum. Recent catalysts include his March 22 posts slamming Biden's policies and Georgia indictment updates, boosting "anti-Biden" and "legal battles" probabilities, while a quiet X presence tempers cross-platform bets. Traders eye potential volatility from the March 25 Michigan GOP endorsement push and hush-money case filings, alongside routine news triggers like polls or media hits, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in pricing his reactive posting patterns against historical baselines of 80% weekly engagement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問