Trader consensus on Polymarket pegs Elon Musk's tweet count for March 20-27, 2026, at 240-319 posts, with 280-299 leading at 12% implied odds and 300-319 close behind at 11.5%, reflecting his sustained high-volume posting amid tech, space, and political fervor. Recent weeks show Musk averaging 30-45 tweets daily—spiking during Tesla updates, SpaceX milestones, or Trump administration crossovers—fueling expectations of 35-40 per day over the eight-day span. Competitive dynamics hinge on event-driven volatility: a quiet news cycle could dip toward 240s (10.5%), while controversies or announcements push into 320+ (10.5%). Historical precedents from 2024 election surges underscore the tight clustering, as traders weigh his cultural dominance against potential burnout.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日300〜319 12%
280~299 11%
240〜259 11%
260〜279 11%
$397,038 Vol.
$397,038 Vol.
20未満
<1%
20〜39
<1%
40~59
<1%
60~79
<1%
80~99
<1%
100〜119
<1%
120~139
<1%
140~159
1%
160~179
2%
180〜199
3%
200〜219
5%
220〜239
6%
240〜259
11%
260〜279
11%
280~299
11%
300〜319
12%
320〜339
11%
340〜359
9%
360〜379
8%
380〜399
6%
400〜419
4%
420〜439
3%
440〜459
2%
460~479
1%
480~499
1%
500~519
1%
520〜539
1%
540~559
1%
560〜579
<1%
580以上
<1%
300〜319 12%
280~299 11%
240〜259 11%
260〜279 11%
$397,038 Vol.
$397,038 Vol.
20未満
<1%
20〜39
<1%
40~59
<1%
60~79
<1%
80~99
<1%
100〜119
<1%
120~139
<1%
140~159
1%
160~179
2%
180〜199
3%
200〜219
5%
220〜239
6%
240〜259
11%
260〜279
11%
280~299
11%
300〜319
12%
320〜339
11%
340〜359
9%
360〜379
8%
380〜399
6%
400〜419
4%
420〜439
3%
440〜459
2%
460~479
1%
480~499
1%
500~519
1%
520〜539
1%
540~559
1%
560〜579
<1%
580以上
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日: Mar 17, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket pegs Elon Musk's tweet count for March 20-27, 2026, at 240-319 posts, with 280-299 leading at 12% implied odds and 300-319 close behind at 11.5%, reflecting his sustained high-volume posting amid tech, space, and political fervor. Recent weeks show Musk averaging 30-45 tweets daily—spiking during Tesla updates, SpaceX milestones, or Trump administration crossovers—fueling expectations of 35-40 per day over the eight-day span. Competitive dynamics hinge on event-driven volatility: a quiet news cycle could dip toward 240s (10.5%), while controversies or announcements push into 320+ (10.5%). Historical precedents from 2024 election surges underscore the tight clustering, as traders weigh his cultural dominance against potential burnout.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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