Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects low implied probability for Mojtaba Khamenei tweeting, driven by his longstanding low public profile as a reclusive figure in Iran's clerical establishment and lack of any verified social media account. No official announcements or credible reports indicate activity on X (formerly Twitter), amid ongoing speculation about his role in succession planning following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's health rumors. Recent Iranian state media silence on digital outreach from regime insiders reinforces skepticism, with no catalysts like protests or diplomatic shifts prompting such a break from tradition. Traders eye potential volatility around unscheduled Supreme Leader communications or regional escalations, but base rates from similar opaque figures suggest minimal chance before resolution deadlines.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日NEW
$19,432 Vol.
Mar 21, 2026
March 17, 2026
20%
March 18, 2026
45%
March 19, 2026
53%
March 20, 2026
71%
$19,432 Vol.
March 17, 2026
$7,815 Vol.
20%
March 18, 2026
$2,736 Vol.
45%
March 19, 2026
$1,916 Vol.
53%
March 20, 2026
$6,963 Vol.
71%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official X profile of Supreme Leader of Iran Mojtaba Khamenei posts/tweets again between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Posts include any post, repost, or reply.
The resolution source for this market are Mojtaba Khamenei's official X profile: https://x.com/mkhamenei_ir. Posts/tweets from any other account will not qualify.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official X profile of Supreme Leader of Iran Mojtaba Khamenei posts/tweets again between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Posts include any post, repost, or reply.
The resolution source for this market are Mojtaba Khamenei's official X profile: https://x.com/mkhamenei_ir. Posts/tweets from any other account will not qualify.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official X profile of Supreme Leader of Iran Mojtaba Khamenei posts/tweets again between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Posts include any post, repost, or reply.
The resolution source for this market are Mojtaba Khamenei's official X profile: https://x.com/mkhamenei_ir. Posts/tweets from any other account will not qualify.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official X profile of Supreme Leader of Iran Mojtaba Khamenei posts/tweets again between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Posts include any post, repost, or reply.
The resolution source for this market are Mojtaba Khamenei's official X profile: https://x.com/mkhamenei_ir. Posts/tweets from any other account will not qualify.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official X profile of Supreme Leader of Iran Mojtaba Khamenei posts/tweets again between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Posts include any post, repost, or reply.
The resolution source for this market are Mojtaba Khamenei's official X profile: https://x.com/mkhamenei_ir. Posts/tweets from any other account will not qualify.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official X profile of Supreme Leader of Iran Mojtaba Khamenei posts/tweets again between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Posts include any post, repost, or reply.
The resolution source for this market are Mojtaba Khamenei's official X profile: https://x.com/mkhamenei_ir. Posts/tweets from any other account will not qualify.
Posts include any post, repost, or reply.
The resolution source for this market are Mojtaba Khamenei's official X profile: https://x.com/mkhamenei_ir. Posts/tweets from any other account will not qualify.
マーケット開始日： Mar 16, 2026, 5:15 PM ET
音量
$19,432終了日
Mar 21, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 16, 2026, 5:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official X profile of Supreme Leader of Iran Mojtaba Khamenei posts/tweets again between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Posts include any post, repost, or reply.
The resolution source for this market are Mojtaba Khamenei's official X profile: https://x.com/mkhamenei_ir. Posts/tweets from any other account will not qualify.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official X profile of Supreme Leader of Iran Mojtaba Khamenei posts/tweets again between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Posts include any post, repost, or reply.
The resolution source for this market are Mojtaba Khamenei's official X profile: https://x.com/mkhamenei_ir. Posts/tweets from any other account will not qualify.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official X profile of Supreme Leader of Iran Mojtaba Khamenei posts/tweets again between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Posts include any post, repost, or reply.
The resolution source for this market are Mojtaba Khamenei's official X profile: https://x.com/mkhamenei_ir. Posts/tweets from any other account will not qualify.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official X profile of Supreme Leader of Iran Mojtaba Khamenei posts/tweets again between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Posts include any post, repost, or reply.
The resolution source for this market are Mojtaba Khamenei's official X profile: https://x.com/mkhamenei_ir. Posts/tweets from any other account will not qualify.
音量
$19,432終了日
Mar 21, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 16, 2026, 5:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects low implied probability for Mojtaba Khamenei tweeting, driven by his longstanding low public profile as a reclusive figure in Iran's clerical establishment and lack of any verified social media account. No official announcements or credible reports indicate activity on X (formerly Twitter), amid ongoing speculation about his role in succession planning following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's health rumors. Recent Iranian state media silence on digital outreach from regime insiders reinforces skepticism, with no catalysts like protests or diplomatic shifts prompting such a break from tradition. Traders eye potential volatility around unscheduled Supreme Leader communications or regional escalations, but base rates from similar opaque figures suggest minimal chance before resolution deadlines.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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