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地政学·イスラエル

Israel Rocket Alerts by March 20?

Market icon
地政学·イスラエル

Israel Rocket Alerts by March 20?

Mar 20

Mar 20

NEW
Mar 20, 2026
Polymarket

$5,485 Vol.

Polymarket

20k

$1,813 Vol.

90%

22k

$3,427 Vol.

41%

24k

$245 Vol.

24%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more Rocket Alerts in Israel since the beginning of Operation Lion's Roar, the joint Israel & US attack on Iran, according to the RocketAlert.live counter as of March 20, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel Standard Time (UTC+2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the counter for "Rocket Alerts - Since February 28, 2026" beneath the subheading "Operation Lion's Roar - Joint Israel & US attack on Iran" (see: https://rocketalert.live/) as displayed at 11:59 PM Israel Standard Time (UTC+2) on Friday, March 20, 2026. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the check time, resolution will be based on the most recent value displayed prior to resolution time. Note: Only the value displayed in the RocketAlert.live counter will qualify, regardless of reports from Israeli authorities, news outlets, or other tracking sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more Rocket Alerts in Israel since the beginning of Operation Lion's Roar, the joint Israel & US attack on Iran, according to the RocketAlert.live counter as of March 20, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel Standard Time (UTC+2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the counter for "Rocket Alerts - Since February 28, 2026" beneath the subheading "Operation Lion's Roar - Joint Israel & US attack on Iran" (see: https://rocketalert.live/) as displayed at 11:59 PM Israel Standard Time (UTC+2) on Friday, March 20, 2026. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the check time, resolution will be based on the most recent value displayed prior to resolution time. Note: Only the value displayed in the RocketAlert.live counter will qualify, regardless of reports from Israeli authorities, news outlets, or other tracking sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more Rocket Alerts in Israel since the beginning of Operation Lion's Roar, the joint Israel & US attack on Iran, according to the RocketAlert.live counter as of March 20, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel Standard Time (UTC+2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the counter for "Rocket Alerts - Since February 28, 2026" beneath the subheading "Operation Lion's Roar - Joint Israel & US attack on Iran" (see: https://rocketalert.live/) as displayed at 11:59 PM Israel Standard Time (UTC+2) on Friday, March 20, 2026. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the check time, resolution will be based on the most recent value displayed prior to resolution time. Note: Only the value displayed in the RocketAlert.live counter will qualify, regardless of reports from Israeli authorities, news outlets, or other tracking sources.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more Rocket Alerts in Israel since the beginning of Operation Lion's Roar, the joint Israel & US attack on Iran, according to the RocketAlert.live counter as of March 20, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel Standard Time (UTC+2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the counter for "Rocket Alerts - Since February 28, 2026" beneath the subheading "Operation Lion's Roar - Joint Israel & US attack on Iran" (see: https://rocketalert.live/) as displayed at 11:59 PM Israel Standard Time (UTC+2) on Friday, March 20, 2026. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the check time, resolution will be based on the most recent value displayed prior to resolution time.

Note: Only the value displayed in the RocketAlert.live counter will qualify, regardless of reports from Israeli authorities, news outlets, or other tracking sources.
音量
$5,485
終了日
Mar 20, 2026
マーケット開始日
Mar 17, 2026, 12:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more Rocket Alerts in Israel since the beginning of Operation Lion's Roar, the joint Israel & US attack on Iran, according to the RocketAlert.live counter as of March 20, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel Standard Time (UTC+2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the counter for "Rocket Alerts - Since February 28, 2026" beneath the subheading "Operation Lion's Roar - Joint Israel & US attack on Iran" (see: https://rocketalert.live/) as displayed at 11:59 PM Israel Standard Time (UTC+2) on Friday, March 20, 2026. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the check time, resolution will be based on the most recent value displayed prior to resolution time. Note: Only the value displayed in the RocketAlert.live counter will qualify, regardless of reports from Israeli authorities, news outlets, or other tracking sources.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more Rocket Alerts in Israel since the beginning of Operation Lion's Roar, the joint Israel & US attack on Iran, according to the RocketAlert.live counter as of March 20, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel Standard Time (UTC+2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the counter for "Rocket Alerts - Since February 28, 2026" beneath the subheading "Operation Lion's Roar - Joint Israel & US attack on Iran" (see: https://rocketalert.live/) as displayed at 11:59 PM Israel Standard Time (UTC+2) on Friday, March 20, 2026. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the check time, resolution will be based on the most recent value displayed prior to resolution time. Note: Only the value displayed in the RocketAlert.live counter will qualify, regardless of reports from Israeli authorities, news outlets, or other tracking sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more Rocket Alerts in Israel since the beginning of Operation Lion's Roar, the joint Israel & US attack on Iran, according to the RocketAlert.live counter as of March 20, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel Standard Time (UTC+2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the counter for "Rocket Alerts - Since February 28, 2026" beneath the subheading "Operation Lion's Roar - Joint Israel & US attack on Iran" (see: https://rocketalert.live/) as displayed at 11:59 PM Israel Standard Time (UTC+2) on Friday, March 20, 2026. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the check time, resolution will be based on the most recent value displayed prior to resolution time. Note: Only the value displayed in the RocketAlert.live counter will qualify, regardless of reports from Israeli authorities, news outlets, or other tracking sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more Rocket Alerts in Israel since the beginning of Operation Lion's Roar, the joint Israel & US attack on Iran, according to the RocketAlert.live counter as of March 20, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel Standard Time (UTC+2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the counter for "Rocket Alerts - Since February 28, 2026" beneath the subheading "Operation Lion's Roar - Joint Israel & US attack on Iran" (see: https://rocketalert.live/) as displayed at 11:59 PM Israel Standard Time (UTC+2) on Friday, March 20, 2026. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the check time, resolution will be based on the most recent value displayed prior to resolution time. Note: Only the value displayed in the RocketAlert.live counter will qualify, regardless of reports from Israeli authorities, news outlets, or other tracking sources.

Persistent cross-border rocket fire from Hezbollah in Lebanon and militants in Gaza continues to drive trader consensus toward a high implied probability of rocket alerts sounding in Israel by March 20, reflecting daily exchanges amid the ongoing multifront conflict. Recent developments include over 100 rockets launched from Lebanon on March 16 in retaliation for an Israeli airstrike, triggering widespread sirens in northern Israel, while Gaza barrages persist despite IDF ground operations. No confirmed ceasefire breakthrough has emerged from U.S.-mediated talks, heightening risks. Traders monitor upcoming Ramadan developments starting March 10 and potential escalations along the Philadelphi Corridor, which could intensify or pause attacks before the deadline.

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よくある質問

「Israel Rocket Alerts by March 20?」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「20k」で90%、次いで「22k」が41%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、90¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に90%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Israel Rocket Alerts by March 20?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Mar 17, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Israel Rocket Alerts by March 20?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Israel Rocket Alerts by March 20?」の現在のフロントランナーは「20k」で90%であり、市場がこの結果に90%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「22k」で41%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Israel Rocket Alerts by March 20?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。