Uncertainty surrounding the 2025 New York City mayoral election dominates trader sentiment for the incumbent's X post count during March 20-27, 2026, with consensus probabilities tightly clustered in the 20-79 range as no frontrunner has emerged from early polls showing City Comptroller Brad Lander, former Gov. Andrew Cuomo, and others in a fragmented Democratic primary field. Incumbent Eric Adams, facing federal charges and trailing at under 15% approval, posts moderately at 4-7 times daily amid official duties, while challengers like Lander average 3-5 weekly bursts tied to advocacy. This keeps mid-range bins competitive, but candidate filing deadlines in April 2025, primary debates, and first Emerson polls could spotlight communication styles, potentially boosting higher-volume odds for a media-savvy winner.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日200+ 64%
40〜59 37%
60〜79 36%
80〜99 35%
<20
20%
20〜39
39%
40〜59
37%
60〜79
36%
80〜99
35%
100-119
34%
120-139
36%
140-159
34%
160-179
34%
180-199
34%
200+
64%
200+ 64%
40〜59 37%
60〜79 36%
80〜99 35%
<20
20%
20〜39
39%
40〜59
37%
60〜79
36%
80〜99
35%
100-119
34%
120-139
36%
140-159
34%
160-179
34%
180-199
34%
200+
64%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日: Mar 17, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/NYCMayorResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/NYCMayorResolver
0x69c47De9D...Uncertainty surrounding the 2025 New York City mayoral election dominates trader sentiment for the incumbent's X post count during March 20-27, 2026, with consensus probabilities tightly clustered in the 20-79 range as no frontrunner has emerged from early polls showing City Comptroller Brad Lander, former Gov. Andrew Cuomo, and others in a fragmented Democratic primary field. Incumbent Eric Adams, facing federal charges and trailing at under 15% approval, posts moderately at 4-7 times daily amid official duties, while challengers like Lander average 3-5 weekly bursts tied to advocacy. This keeps mid-range bins competitive, but candidate filing deadlines in April 2025, primary debates, and first Emerson polls could spotlight communication styles, potentially boosting higher-volume odds for a media-savvy winner.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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