Trader consensus on Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy's X post volume from March 24-31, 2026, remains tightly clustered with equal 40.5% implied probabilities across ranges, reflecting profound uncertainty over a distant timeframe amid ongoing Russia-Ukraine war dynamics. Zelenskyy's recent weekly output hovers around 20-40 posts, focused on military updates, diplomatic appeals, and national addresses, but extrapolation to 2026 faces volatility from potential martial law extensions delaying 2024 elections, peace negotiations, U.S. aid shifts under new administrations, or platform policy changes. Separation could emerge from 2025 catalysts like ceasefire talks, snap polls, or intensified frontline escalations altering his communication cadence.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日<20 41%
20~39 41%
40〜59 41%
60〜79 41%
<20
41%
20~39
41%
40〜59
41%
60〜79
41%
80~99
41%
100~119
41%
120~139
41%
140~159
41%
160~179
41%
180〜199
41%
200以上
41%
<20 41%
20~39 41%
40〜59 41%
60〜79 41%
<20
41%
20~39
41%
40〜59
41%
60〜79
41%
80~99
41%
100~119
41%
120~139
41%
140~159
41%
160~179
41%
180〜199
41%
200以上
41%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日: Mar 21, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/ZelenskyyUaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/ZelenskyyUaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy's X post volume from March 24-31, 2026, remains tightly clustered with equal 40.5% implied probabilities across ranges, reflecting profound uncertainty over a distant timeframe amid ongoing Russia-Ukraine war dynamics. Zelenskyy's recent weekly output hovers around 20-40 posts, focused on military updates, diplomatic appeals, and national addresses, but extrapolation to 2026 faces volatility from potential martial law extensions delaying 2024 elections, peace negotiations, U.S. aid shifts under new administrations, or platform policy changes. Separation could emerge from 2025 catalysts like ceasefire talks, snap polls, or intensified frontline escalations altering his communication cadence.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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