Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 66% implied probability for 2.6M-2.8M TSA checkpoint passengers on April 10, aligning with recent weekday volumes averaging around 2.7 million—including April 6's 2.71 million (Monday), April 3's 2.66 million (Friday), and April 2's 2.71 million (Thursday)—amid the tail end of peak spring break travel following Easter on April 5. Volumes have stabilized post-holiday surges, down roughly 9% year-over-year, reflecting moderated leisure demand despite strong Atlanta airport projections of 8.3 million passengers for April. The 29% odds on 2.8M-3.0M capture upside risk from any late-season pickup, while lower bins reflect limited downside amid resilient consumer travel sentiment; official TSA data releases tomorrow.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日2.6M-2.8M 66%
2.8M-3.0M 38%
2.4M-2.6M 16%
2.2M-2.4M 2.6%
<2.2M
2%
2.2M-2.4M
3%
2.4M-2.6M
21%
2.6M-2.8M
66%
2.8M-3.0M
28%
>3.0M
<1%
2.6M-2.8M 66%
2.8M-3.0M 38%
2.4M-2.6M 16%
2.2M-2.4M 2.6%
<2.2M
2%
2.2M-2.4M
3%
2.4M-2.6M
21%
2.6M-2.8M
66%
2.8M-3.0M
28%
>3.0M
<1%
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
マーケット開始日: Apr 7, 2026, 4:30 PM ET
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 66% implied probability for 2.6M-2.8M TSA checkpoint passengers on April 10, aligning with recent weekday volumes averaging around 2.7 million—including April 6's 2.71 million (Monday), April 3's 2.66 million (Friday), and April 2's 2.71 million (Thursday)—amid the tail end of peak spring break travel following Easter on April 5. Volumes have stabilized post-holiday surges, down roughly 9% year-over-year, reflecting moderated leisure demand despite strong Atlanta airport projections of 8.3 million passengers for April. The 29% odds on 2.8M-3.0M capture upside risk from any late-season pickup, while lower bins reflect limited downside amid resilient consumer travel sentiment; official TSA data releases tomorrow.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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