President Trump's April 8 social media announcement threatening 50% tariffs on any country supplying military weapons to Iran does not qualify for market resolution, as it lacks reference to a specific country or set of countries and appears as a broad warning rather than a formal tariff imposition tied explicitly to military cooperation with Iran. This follows a Supreme Court ruling in February 2026 striking down unilateral presidential tariffs under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act, curtailing executive authority and casting doubt on implementation. Amid a fragile two-week US-Iran ceasefire hailed by Trump as a step toward peace, traders price just a 21% Yes chance before the April 17 deadline, reflecting de-escalation signals and legal hurdles over further escalatory measures.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
新規
新規
2026/04/17
はい
新規
新規
2026/04/17
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces the creation of any new tariffs or any increase in existing tariffs on a specific country in relation to that country's military cooperation with Iran between market creation and April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Military cooperation refers to a country directly assisting Iran on military or defense matters, including supplying arms, weapons, intelligence, or other military support.
Only tariffs targeting a specific country or set of countries will qualify. For example, a new global tariff or other broadly applicable tariff measure imposed on all imports into the United States will not count toward this market’s resolution.
A qualifying tariff or tariff increase must be imposed in response to the affected country's military cooperation with Iran. If that reason is stated in the official announcement of a tariff, it will be sufficient. If the reason is not stated in the official announcement, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to determine whether the tariff was imposed in response to that country supplying weapons to Iran.
Any qualifying action announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the tariffs go into effect.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's April 8 social media announcement threatening 50% tariffs on any country supplying military weapons to Iran does not qualify for market resolution, as it lacks reference to a specific country or set of countries and appears as a broad warning rather than a formal tariff imposition tied explicitly to military cooperation with Iran. This follows a Supreme Court ruling in February 2026 striking down unilateral presidential tariffs under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act, curtailing executive authority and casting doubt on implementation. Amid a fragile two-week US-Iran ceasefire hailed by Trump as a step toward peace, traders price just a 21% Yes chance before the April 17 deadline, reflecting de-escalation signals and legal hurdles over further escalatory measures.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces the creation of any new tariffs or any increase in existing tariffs on a specific country in relation to that country's military cooperation with Iran between market creation and April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Military cooperation refers to a country directly assisting Iran on military or defense matters, including supplying arms, weapons, intelligence, or other military support.
Only tariffs targeting a specific country or set of countries will qualify. For example, a new global tariff or other broadly applicable tariff measure imposed on all imports into the United States will not count toward this market’s resolution.
A qualifying tariff or tariff increase must be imposed in response to the affected country's military cooperation with Iran. If that reason is stated in the official announcement of a tariff, it will be sufficient. If the reason is not stated in the official announcement, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to determine whether the tariff was imposed in response to that country supplying weapons to Iran.
Any qualifying action announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the tariffs go into effect.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Military cooperation refers to a country directly assisting Iran on military or defense matters, including supplying arms, weapons, intelligence, or other military support.
Only tariffs targeting a specific country or set of countries will qualify. For example, a new global tariff or other broadly applicable tariff measure imposed on all imports into the United States will not count toward this market’s resolution.
A qualifying tariff or tariff increase must be imposed in response to the affected country's military cooperation with Iran. If that reason is stated in the official announcement of a tariff, it will be sufficient. If the reason is not stated in the official announcement, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to determine whether the tariff was imposed in response to that country supplying weapons to Iran.
Any qualifying action announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the tariffs go into effect.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Apr 8, 2026, 5:45 PM ET
音量
$3,113終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 8, 2026, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces the creation of any new tariffs or any increase in existing tariffs on a specific country in relation to that country's military cooperation with Iran between market creation and April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Military cooperation refers to a country directly assisting Iran on military or defense matters, including supplying arms, weapons, intelligence, or other military support.
Only tariffs targeting a specific country or set of countries will qualify. For example, a new global tariff or other broadly applicable tariff measure imposed on all imports into the United States will not count toward this market’s resolution.
A qualifying tariff or tariff increase must be imposed in response to the affected country's military cooperation with Iran. If that reason is stated in the official announcement of a tariff, it will be sufficient. If the reason is not stated in the official announcement, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to determine whether the tariff was imposed in response to that country supplying weapons to Iran.
Any qualifying action announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the tariffs go into effect.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's April 8 social media announcement threatening 50% tariffs on any country supplying military weapons to Iran does not qualify for market resolution, as it lacks reference to a specific country or set of countries and appears as a broad warning rather than a formal tariff imposition tied explicitly to military cooperation with Iran. This follows a Supreme Court ruling in February 2026 striking down unilateral presidential tariffs under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act, curtailing executive authority and casting doubt on implementation. Amid a fragile two-week US-Iran ceasefire hailed by Trump as a step toward peace, traders price just a 21% Yes chance before the April 17 deadline, reflecting de-escalation signals and legal hurdles over further escalatory measures.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces the creation of any new tariffs or any increase in existing tariffs on a specific country in relation to that country's military cooperation with Iran between market creation and April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Military cooperation refers to a country directly assisting Iran on military or defense matters, including supplying arms, weapons, intelligence, or other military support.
Only tariffs targeting a specific country or set of countries will qualify. For example, a new global tariff or other broadly applicable tariff measure imposed on all imports into the United States will not count toward this market’s resolution.
A qualifying tariff or tariff increase must be imposed in response to the affected country's military cooperation with Iran. If that reason is stated in the official announcement of a tariff, it will be sufficient. If the reason is not stated in the official announcement, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to determine whether the tariff was imposed in response to that country supplying weapons to Iran.
Any qualifying action announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the tariffs go into effect.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Military cooperation refers to a country directly assisting Iran on military or defense matters, including supplying arms, weapons, intelligence, or other military support.
Only tariffs targeting a specific country or set of countries will qualify. For example, a new global tariff or other broadly applicable tariff measure imposed on all imports into the United States will not count toward this market’s resolution.
A qualifying tariff or tariff increase must be imposed in response to the affected country's military cooperation with Iran. If that reason is stated in the official announcement of a tariff, it will be sufficient. If the reason is not stated in the official announcement, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to determine whether the tariff was imposed in response to that country supplying weapons to Iran.
Any qualifying action announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the tariffs go into effect.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$3,113終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 8, 2026, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's April 8 social media announcement threatening 50% tariffs on any country supplying military weapons to Iran does not qualify for market resolution, as it lacks reference to a specific country or set of countries and appears as a broad warning rather than a formal tariff imposition tied explicitly to military cooperation with Iran. This follows a Supreme Court ruling in February 2026 striking down unilateral presidential tariffs under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act, curtailing executive authority and casting doubt on implementation. Amid a fragile two-week US-Iran ceasefire hailed by Trump as a step toward peace, traders price just a 21% Yes chance before the April 17 deadline, reflecting de-escalation signals and legal hurdles over further escalatory measures.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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