Trader sentiment on the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting remains split evenly between no meeting by June 30 and Pakistan as host, both at 26.5%, reflecting stalled indirect nuclear talks in Oman in April that yielded no venue announcement amid heightened Middle East tensions from Gaza and Israel-Iran exchanges. Switzerland trails at 8.5% due to its JCPOA legacy as neutral ground, while Oman and Qatar linger low after recent mediator roles. The tight race stems from US insistence on indirect channels versus Iran's direct meeting push, with Pakistan gaining traction from its recent mediation offers and regional ties. Separation could arise from envoy travel announcements, IAEA reports, or UN General Assembly sidelines in September.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Pakistan 27%
No Meeting by June 30 25%
Switzerland 9%
Oman 7%
$15,253 Vol.
$15,253 Vol.
Pakistan
27%
No Meeting by June 30
25%
Switzerland
9%
Oman
7%
Qatar
7%
Other - Middle East/North Africa
4%
Other
4%
Turkey
4%
UAE
3%
Austria
2%
Italy
2%
Other - Europe
2%
Saudi Arabia
2%
Egypt
2%
Russia
2%
USA
2%
Iran
2%
Iraq
1%
Kazakhstan
1%
Pakistan 27%
No Meeting by June 30 25%
Switzerland 9%
Oman 7%
$15,253 Vol.
$15,253 Vol.
Pakistan
27%
No Meeting by June 30
25%
Switzerland
9%
Oman
7%
Qatar
7%
Other - Middle East/North Africa
4%
Other
4%
Turkey
4%
UAE
3%
Austria
2%
Italy
2%
Other - Europe
2%
Saudi Arabia
2%
Egypt
2%
Russia
2%
USA
2%
Iran
2%
Iraq
1%
Kazakhstan
1%
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”.
For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日: Mar 24, 2026, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting remains split evenly between no meeting by June 30 and Pakistan as host, both at 26.5%, reflecting stalled indirect nuclear talks in Oman in April that yielded no venue announcement amid heightened Middle East tensions from Gaza and Israel-Iran exchanges. Switzerland trails at 8.5% due to its JCPOA legacy as neutral ground, while Oman and Qatar linger low after recent mediator roles. The tight race stems from US insistence on indirect channels versus Iran's direct meeting push, with Pakistan gaining traction from its recent mediation offers and regional ties. Separation could arise from envoy travel announcements, IAEA reports, or UN General Assembly sidelines in September.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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