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Will Trump attend NATO Summit?

Market icon

Will Trump attend NATO Summit?

70% 確率
Polymarket
新規
70% 確率
Polymarket
新規
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump attends the NATO Summit event scheduled for July 7, 2026 – July 8, 2026 in Ankara, Türkiye. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the NATO Summit is defined as being in physical attendance in the event at any point between the start and end of the Summit. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's recent sharp criticisms of NATO allies for failing to provide support during U.S. military actions against Iran have fueled uncertainty around his attendance at the 2026 Ankara NATO summit on July 7–8, keeping trader consensus tightly balanced at 53% Yes. His public statements questioning the alliance's reciprocity—echoing past demands for higher defense spending—and threats to reconsider U.S. membership have eroded expectations, despite precedent from his participation in the 2025 Hague summit. NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte's White House visit this week could clarify postures through diplomacy, while further escalation in rhetoric or official announcements on priorities like burden-sharing might tip odds toward absence or confirmation.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump attends the NATO Summit event scheduled for July 7, 2026 – July 8, 2026
in Ankara, Türkiye. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the event is canceled or postponed beyond August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Attending the NATO Summit is defined as being in physical attendance in the event at any point between the start and end of the Summit.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$233
終了日
2026/07/08
マーケット開始日
Apr 7, 2026, 4:21 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump attends the NATO Summit event scheduled for July 7, 2026 – July 8, 2026 in Ankara, Türkiye. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the NATO Summit is defined as being in physical attendance in the event at any point between the start and end of the Summit. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump attends the NATO Summit event scheduled for July 7, 2026 – July 8, 2026 in Ankara, Türkiye. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the NATO Summit is defined as being in physical attendance in the event at any point between the start and end of the Summit. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's recent sharp criticisms of NATO allies for failing to provide support during U.S. military actions against Iran have fueled uncertainty around his attendance at the 2026 Ankara NATO summit on July 7–8, keeping trader consensus tightly balanced at 53% Yes. His public statements questioning the alliance's reciprocity—echoing past demands for higher defense spending—and threats to reconsider U.S. membership have eroded expectations, despite precedent from his participation in the 2025 Hague summit. NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte's White House visit this week could clarify postures through diplomacy, while further escalation in rhetoric or official announcements on priorities like burden-sharing might tip odds toward absence or confirmation.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump attends the NATO Summit event scheduled for July 7, 2026 – July 8, 2026
in Ankara, Türkiye. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the event is canceled or postponed beyond August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Attending the NATO Summit is defined as being in physical attendance in the event at any point between the start and end of the Summit.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$233
終了日
2026/07/08
マーケット開始日
Apr 7, 2026, 4:21 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump attends the NATO Summit event scheduled for July 7, 2026 – July 8, 2026 in Ankara, Türkiye. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the NATO Summit is defined as being in physical attendance in the event at any point between the start and end of the Summit. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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よくある質問

「Will Trump attend NATO Summit?」はPolymarket上の予測市場で、トレーダーがこのイベントが起こるかどうかに基づいて「はい」または「いいえ」のシェアを売買します。コミュニティによる現在の確率は「Yes」に対して54%です。例えば、「はい」が54¢で取引されている場合、市場はこのイベントが発生する確率を54%と集合的に評価しています。これらのオッズはトレーダーが新しい展開や情報に反応するにつれて継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Will Trump attend NATO Summit?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Apr 7, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

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「Will Trump attend NATO Summit?」の現在の確率は「Yes」に対して54%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこのイベントの発生確率を54%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズは実際の取引に基づいてリアルタイムで更新され、市場の期待を継続的に反映するシグナルを提供します。

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