Polymarket traders show evenly distributed implied probabilities across Chicago median home value bins clustered around $340,000 for April 30, reflecting the Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) for the Chicago-Naperville-Elgin metro at $338,685 in February 2026, up 4.0% year-over-year but with only modest 1.1% month-over-month gains. Persistent low inventory—down notably year-over-year—supports price stability amid high mortgage rates near 7%, capping aggressive appreciation while spring buying season looms. Trader consensus highlights balanced forces: supply constraints versus affordability pressures from Federal Reserve policy stasis, with no decisive catalyst emerging in recent Illinois Realtors data through February. Key differentiators include upcoming March ZHVI release and nonfarm payrolls influencing rate cut odds, potentially tipping sentiment toward higher bins if labor data softens.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日<336k 45%
336 - 338k 45%
338 - 340k 45%
340 - 342k 45%
新規
新規
2026/04/30
<336k
45%
336 - 338k
45%
338 - 340k
45%
340 - 342k
45%
342 - 344k
45%
344 - 346k
45%
346 - 348k
45%
>348k
45%
<336k 45%
336 - 338k 45%
338 - 340k 45%
340 - 342k 45%
新規
新規
2026/04/30
<336k
$0 Vol.
45%
336 - 338k
$0 Vol.
45%
338 - 340k
$0 Vol.
45%
340 - 342k
$0 Vol.
45%
342 - 344k
$0 Vol.
45%
344 - 346k
$0 Vol.
45%
346 - 348k
$0 Vol.
45%
>348k
$0 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/30)Polymarket traders show evenly distributed implied probabilities across Chicago median home value bins clustered around $340,000 for April 30, reflecting the Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) for the Chicago-Naperville-Elgin metro at $338,685 in February 2026, up 4.0% year-over-year but with only modest 1.1% month-over-month gains. Persistent low inventory—down notably year-over-year—supports price stability amid high mortgage rates near 7%, capping aggressive appreciation while spring buying season looms. Trader consensus highlights balanced forces: supply constraints versus affordability pressures from Federal Reserve policy stasis, with no decisive catalyst emerging in recent Illinois Realtors data through February. Key differentiators include upcoming March ZHVI release and nonfarm payrolls influencing rate cut odds, potentially tipping sentiment toward higher bins if labor data softens.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/30)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/30)
マーケット開始日： Mar 30, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Mar 30, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/30)Polymarket traders show evenly distributed implied probabilities across Chicago median home value bins clustered around $340,000 for April 30, reflecting the Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) for the Chicago-Naperville-Elgin metro at $338,685 in February 2026, up 4.0% year-over-year but with only modest 1.1% month-over-month gains. Persistent low inventory—down notably year-over-year—supports price stability amid high mortgage rates near 7%, capping aggressive appreciation while spring buying season looms. Trader consensus highlights balanced forces: supply constraints versus affordability pressures from Federal Reserve policy stasis, with no decisive catalyst emerging in recent Illinois Realtors data through February. Key differentiators include upcoming March ZHVI release and nonfarm payrolls influencing rate cut odds, potentially tipping sentiment toward higher bins if labor data softens.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/30)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/30)
音量
$0終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Mar 30, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders show evenly distributed implied probabilities across Chicago median home value bins clustered around $340,000 for April 30, reflecting the Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) for the Chicago-Naperville-Elgin metro at $338,685 in February 2026, up 4.0% year-over-year but with only modest 1.1% month-over-month gains. Persistent low inventory—down notably year-over-year—supports price stability amid high mortgage rates near 7%, capping aggressive appreciation while spring buying season looms. Trader consensus highlights balanced forces: supply constraints versus affordability pressures from Federal Reserve policy stasis, with no decisive catalyst emerging in recent Illinois Realtors data through February. Key differentiators include upcoming March ZHVI release and nonfarm payrolls influencing rate cut odds, potentially tipping sentiment toward higher bins if labor data softens.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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